I think that is what impulse was also saying. I don't think they were saying stay in and repeat again.
I have to say, I really would be brutally honest at this point regarding chances of any of these paths working out (200, 500, or OCS) and have them start them thinking outside the box on how they can get part of their dream as plan B.
My cousin's DH was AROTC in college, but he landed up getting medically DQ'd. along the way in college.
He is working for the Army right now in their Homeland Defense Dept. He just came back from a 2 yr assignment in Peru. Will stay stateside for 4 yrs., and if he wants to apply for another overseas assignment, AND 1 is available for his pay grade he can try for it.
~~~~ If they go to
www.usajobs.gov he will be amazed how many jobs are out there.
~~~~~~~ Understand a lot of those positions are networking, and many may have a job hiring freeze currently, but in 2-3 yrs from now, who knows.
Our DD class of 2014 (AF brat---not in ROTC) received a fellowship for her Grad degree in Education. She attends an SMC. I told her about this website, and the DoD Education website. When she went on the sites, I knew it was over....she was going to go down this route. (I should have kept my mouth shut). She can't wait for a yr. from now because she is going to try to get into the DoD. She is even willing to take the posts in Korea. Italy and UK are her top choices.
He could also try for the state department jobs.
If he truly wants to serve in any manner, and likes the idea of traveling/moving around the world, these are great options to look into as plan B.
~~~ Just have him understand, that an O1 is @8 or 9, maybe even a 7. I know an O5 20 yrs is a 14/15, thus if you keep going down the ranks... sr O4, is 13, jr. is 12, sr, O3 is 11, mid is 10, jr is 9/10., O2 is 8/9, O1 is 8, maybe 7.
If he is still gung ho AF, I would tell him to visit the ANG nearest to you, and see if he can come in that way. There are ANG units that have full time reservists.
Not saying give up in any means. I am seeing in this current environment when sequestration for the DoD will be in place until 2022, having plan B, C and D in place using the outside of the box might make him just as happy or happier as being in the ADAF.
~ It just requires a little more time doing Google searches.