+1
Nobody can tell you the odds since nobody is on the boards, there are a lot of things in play. Don't worry about it right now, worry about your grades and staying healthy.
DukeFool is right you will have sacrifices to be made, but I would twist that a little. They will never be sacrifices if that is your goal. You will gladly opt to do what is needed to obtain that goal, hence it isn't a sacrifice.
Take this time and really investigate ADAF life. That means investigating AFSC career plans A, B, C and D. Don't assume you will get A or B, assume you will get C or D. If you do this you will be happy in the end whatever you get. Too many walk in saying they want a specific career in the AF and don't understand that the needs of the AF will always come before your desires.
Completion of SFT means the AF's needs will come 1st because now you are on the hook. Again, that means career choice and base location. If you can say you will be happy as a CE at Minot ND for 4 yrs., go for it. If you say you think as a cadet you can get Hickam HA as an O1 with no problem, than I say re-think it,