Well, I still think we're mixing some apples and oranges here -- but let me try it this way, using the USNA catalog data.
I'm still at a loss to figure out how any of that has to do with an assumption that somehow one of those MOC's slates of nominations somehow came up short on the qualification end and thus, they missed out.
The MOC staffers at our Academy Day say when they are "under" their five, they get an extra appointment the next year.
So, I'm still not getting the "if-then" statement that, in the example above, somehow Wyoming doesn't have enough "qualified" applicants to fill Wyoming's quota.
We are definitely mixing apples and oranges but we kinda know how many oranges to subtract out of the crate.
All MOC appointments only account for 55% or so of the total student body. The remaining are from alternate sources, 300 or so from Presidential nominatins, a couple of hundred directly from the fleet, and a few more sources, but the vast majority from the national pool. Bottom line is there is about a national average 8:1 midshipman to MOC ratio. Since these national pool appointments are based solely on individual merit, their inclusion will increase the ratio above 5:1 and can be an indicator of the competitiveness of the district. A very broad generalization would be that areas beginning with the ratio of 10 or so to 1 and up would be the indicator for a very competitive district.