Early action deadline

USAF-RETIRED said:
Congratulations!

You are eligible for the Air Force Academy's Early Action Program.

Early Action is designed to allow you to know your admission status sooner and therefore make more definite plans for your college career.

Here is how it works. Complete all your admissions requirements by the 1st of November and the Academy will tell you your admission status by the 15th of January.

My question is: What does "by the 15th of January" really mean?
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I read it to mean:
On or before 15 Jan, you will be told if you are
1. deferred to regular admissions
2. appointed
3. declined
 
Received a letter of deference today, it read:

Dear nolifepilot,
Thank you for applying to the United States Air Force Academy and meeting the Early Action deadline. After a review of your admissions file, we are deferring an appointment decision until our Regular Selections period in March. While we have decided not to make you an early offer of appointment, your application will be reviewed again during Regular Selections along with our entire class of 2018 candidate pool. The fact that you completed your file for Early Action will also be considered at that time and has been noted as a testament to your motivation to attend the Air Force Academy. Approximately 50% of all appointments will be offered during Regular Selections. Please continue to update your file to ensure that we know of any additional accomplishments, new grades, or improved standardized test scores. Admissions will let you know your final status in early April. We continue to wish you the best in your quest for an appointment to the United States Air Force Academy.

I am medically DQ'd and USAFA is processing my waiver now, so I'm hoping this is the reason for my deferment. I was a tad stunned at how many appointments they have already given out if only 50% will be given out during regular admissions! Good luck to everyone else!
 
My son also received the deferment to regular decision. He has 2 nominations, went on a sports recruiting trip, and is medically qualified. Having been a math major myself, I read the deferment letter this way..

Assumptions:
1) Applicants sent a letter of deferment are in the qualified candidates pool. Why bother deferring if not qualified?
2) Approximately the same numbers/statistics will apply as in the class of 2017
3) When the letter states approximately 50 percent of appointments will be made in regular decision, that means 50 percent of the appointments are now gone.
4) 2017 statistics: 9,706 applicants
6,967 candidate pool
2,277 qualified candidates
1,475 offers of admissions


Conclusions:
1) Roughly 738 appointments left and 738 assigned
2) Roughly 1,539 qualified candidates left competing for 738 spots (qualified candidates - appointments made)
3) Roughly 48 percent chance of acceptance (appointments left / qualified candidates left).
4) Before the EA announcements, the chance of acceptance was 65 percent for a qualified candidate (offers of admission / qualified candidates)

I don't see the USAFA playing about with reviewing an application a second time if it isn't deemed competitive or qualified in the first place. I don't think they have that kind of time on their hands. And I don't believe it wouldn't reject someone in EA if deemed not competitive or not qualified.

So the good news is that if you were deferred, I believe you and my son are most likely in the qualified pool and still have a roughly 50/50 shot of getting in. And if you received a letter that they are attempting to get a health wavier for you, then your odds are most likely significantly better. Why bother with all that paper work and bureaucratic stuff for a candidate if the USAFA wasn't really interested?

My son has also applied for Air Force ROTC, as he wants career Air Force. He has already been accepted in another college, and has his Air Force ROTC scholarship review later this month.

Good luck to all of you!
 
how much does EA increase odds of BFE?

MombaBomba said:
My son also received the deferment to regular decision. He has 2 nominations, went on a sports recruiting trip, and is medically qualified. Having been a math major myself, I read the deferment letter this way..

Assumptions:
1) Applicants sent a letter of deferment are in the qualified candidates pool. Why bother deferring if not qualified?
2) Approximately the same numbers/statistics will apply as in the class of 2017
3) When the letter states approximately 50 percent of appointments will be made in regular decision, that means 50 percent of the appointments are now gone.
4) 2017 statistics: 9,706 applicants
6,967 candidate pool
2,277 qualified candidates
1,475 offers of admissions


Conclusions:
1) Roughly 738 appointments left and 738 assigned
2) Roughly 1,539 qualified candidates left competing for 738 spots (qualified candidates - appointments made)
3) Roughly 48 percent chance of acceptance (appointments left / qualified candidates left).
4) Before the EA announcements, the chance of acceptance was 65 percent for a qualified candidate (offers of admission / qualified candidates)

I don't see the USAFA playing about with reviewing an application a second time if it isn't deemed competitive or qualified in the first place. I don't think they have that kind of time on their hands. And I don't believe it wouldn't reject someone in EA if deemed not competitive or not qualified.

So the good news is that if you were deferred, I believe you and my son are most likely in the qualified pool and still have a roughly 50/50 shot of getting in. And if you received a letter that they are attempting to get a health wavier for you, then your odds are most likely significantly better. Why bother with all that paper work and bureaucratic stuff for a candidate if the USAFA wasn't really interested?

My son has also applied for Air Force ROTC, as he wants career Air Force. He has already been accepted in another college, and has his Air Force ROTC scholarship review later this month.

Good luck to all of you!
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nice analysis, but one question comes to mind, if two applicants are both 3Qd with one EA-deferred and the other not EA, how much does the EA applicant acceptance chances increase vs non-EA?:confused:
 
Wow!! MombaBomba - nothing sexier than a woman with a math major on a mission! Maybe in our next life? My DS, in EA with double nomination is still waiting - no letter, no call, nothing on portal. What's your math on that? I have been telling him that, statistically, he will be deferred, but on pins and needles none the less. Keep the calculations coming - it helps emotionally!
 
Doesn't it also depend how high a candidate's score is academically? Not that they are just qualified academically?
 
50/50?

MombaBomba said:
My son also received the deferment to regular decision. He has 2 nominations, went on a sports recruiting trip, and is medically qualified. Having been a math major myself, I read the deferment letter this way..

Assumptions:
1) Applicants sent a letter of deferment are in the qualified candidates pool. Why bother deferring if not qualified?
2) Approximately the same numbers/statistics will apply as in the class of 2017
3) When the letter states approximately 50 percent of appointments will be made in regular decision, that means 50 percent of the appointments are now gone.
4) 2017 statistics: 9,706 applicants
6,967 candidate pool
2,277 qualified candidates
1,475 offers of admissions


Conclusions:
1) Roughly 738 appointments left and 738 assigned
2) Roughly 1,539 qualified candidates left competing for 738 spots (qualified candidates - appointments made)
3) Roughly 48 percent chance of acceptance (appointments left / qualified candidates left).
4) Before the EA announcements, the chance of acceptance was 65 percent for a qualified candidate (offers of admission / qualified candidates)

I don't see the USAFA playing about with reviewing an application a second time if it isn't deemed competitive or qualified in the first place. I don't think they have that kind of time on their hands. And I don't believe it wouldn't reject someone in EA if deemed not competitive or not qualified.

So the good news is that if you were deferred, I believe you and my son are most likely in the qualified pool and still have a roughly 50/50 shot of getting in. And if you received a letter that they are attempting to get a health wavier for you, then your odds are most likely significantly better. Why bother with all that paper work and bureaucratic stuff for a candidate if the USAFA wasn't really interested?

My son has also applied for Air Force ROTC, as he wants career Air Force. He has already been accepted in another college, and has his Air Force ROTC scholarship review later this month.

Good luck to all of you!
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I have heard that the vast majority of EA applicants will be defered, so why do you say that roughly 50% of appointments will be given to EA applicants?
 
The letter that I received from USAFA said 50%, but that seemed really high to me!
 
SAFmanCan, thanks for that ;), but being married to a math major isn't quite what it's cracked up to be (my husband is a math major too, our poor kids ;) ).
Being a math major has come in handy when having those "come to Jesus" talks with my sons regarding reality. One of the being "I realize that the USAFA is your top choice, and if you hear from them, you never want to deal with another college again. However, the statistics show that it is a highly competitive field, and you need to get other ducks lined up with a game plan." (I have a tendency to mix metaphors)

It would be nice if there was a bit more statistical data to go with such as
1) What percentage of applicants apply EA?
2) In total, after EA and Regular Admissions, what percentage of EA are offered positions?
3) What percentage of those offered positions have principal nominations?
4) What percentage of those offered EA have principal nominations?
5) What percentage of members of congress actually designate a principal nomination? (the 2 nominating members of congress for my son do not designate a principal nomination)
6) How much influence does your declared major play in your academy acceptance? (There are colleges out there which don't weight it much as applicants can change their minds. For the Air Force ROTC scholarships, intended major plays a HUGE role)
7) How many applicants with a congressional nomination get accepted and rejected?

I suspected if my son hadn't heard by January 1st, he wasn't going to be accepted EA. I calculated when he submitted his application for EA, his FIT scores, the timing of his nominations, his gpa, class ranking, act/sat, etc., etc., etc. He was notified late last week. I couldn't predict what not hearing yet means as there are too many variables. I am hoping for your son that it means he is accepted!

WMcCollum, flieger83, usafahopful:
As to the only 15-20 percent vs 50 percent EA offers, the deferment letter received indicated "Approximately 50 percent of all appointments will be offered during Regular Selection." If you look at nolifepilot's copy of the deferment letter, it is in there. That is the same letter my son received. So maybe 15-20 percent is EA and the other 25-30 percent is something else to account for the discrepancy? Perhaps the other 25 - 30 percent are principal nominations? I have no clue here. I am just throwing darts in the dark.

Thanks for all the replies!
 
Hey MombaBomba - I guess I better behave myself. But I dare you to wear a MombaBomba hat (or T-shirt) to parent's weekend:)!

Your sons are lucky to have the realism of numbers - so many great and deserving candidates - I read somewhere that you should not accept "no" for an answer - so to all those great deserving candidates - keep your heads up through it all, and persevere!! If the Academy was right for you, you will try again:thumb:
 
Still waiting! My nomination( from over a month ago) still not updated. Any EA rejections? Those who were deferred, was it in the portal first; I noticed some posters mentioned letters. My brother is a grad-he is very entertained by all of the contradictory info by the Usafa admission reps, ALO's, etc. His perspective? "Welcome to the Air Force!!"
 
dee mar said:
Still waiting! My nomination( from over a month ago) still not updated. Any EA rejections? Those who were deferred, was it in the portal first; I noticed some posters mentioned letters. My brother is a grad-he is very entertained by all of the contradictory info by the Usafa admission reps, ALO's, etc. His perspective? "Welcome to the Air Force!!"
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Still waiting as well! It'd be a sick joke on the admissions people's part to make us wait to the last day and then defer us. Only a few more hours! If you were deferred it'd appear in your portal mailbox.
 
tjdrive said:
Still waiting as well! It'd be a sick joke on the admissions people's part to make us wait to the last day and then defer us. Only a few more hours! If you were deferred it'd appear in your portal mailbox.
Click to expand...

Approximately 75% of EA candidates already know their status. The rest should find out tomorrow.
 
im gonna go out on a limb and say that EA was for recruited athletes and people with 36 ACT/4.0 GPA. Everyone lower is being put into national pool and will be compared to all applicants. Smart by the Academy, but does kinda stink for applicants that were expecting a decision by the 15 instead of being deferred.

I am still happy that it wasn't a no. The wait continues.
 
EA stats

DS received an appointment, EA, a few days ago. His stats:

GPA: 3.9 UW / 4.4 W
ACT: Composite 32; 36V
SAT: Superscored 800V/710M/720W
Varsity sports: 2 football, 2 track
Team Capt: No
Club or Student Govt Pres: No
Boys' State: Y
Noms: 1 Congressional, 1 Presidential
CFA: OK, but not outstanding
 
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