Non Ducor,
I get what you are saying, but....
The cgpa is a small % of the score, the PFA, and AFOQT will matter also.
~ 3.6 AFROTC cgpa is strong, but an 85 PFA, and 50 AFOQT is going to be placed into the equation too, and may equal no SFT
~~~ IOWs a 3.3 AFROTC cgpa, 95 PFA and 75 AFOQT may equal SFT.
Just saying that before anyone believes it will be a big boost, more information needs to be placed into the equation because the cgpa is one of the smallest parts.
~~~ Sorry not meaning to be Debbie Downer, juts trying to make sure that posters understand the true equation, where the above 3 aspects are part of the total sum, plus the CoC.
Honestly, I would not concern myself with this for at least 3 more months. The fact is nobody sits on the boards, and nobody here knows what the ADAF manpower needs will be for 16. The true driving force on the selection rate is going to be the ADAF manpower needs for 16. If it is 1500, and they have 2400 currently as AS200, than you will see a lower rate, and much higher stats. due to competition (supply/demand). If it is 2500, and they have 2400, than the rate will be higher, and stats may be lower.
From my experience the selection rate is more about manpower requirements than most people realize, and cadets have no control over that aspect. It is called timing.
~ Look at threads on this site
~~~~AFA 14 AFSC have yet to get their assignments. Typically given in Oct.
~~~ Rated schools (UPT/UNT/ABM/RPA) are pushing back start dates by months.
~~~ AFROTC grads are waiting longer to report ADAF for schools.
Place that all together and what does it equal IMPO? Manpower issues.
I would also say that for 16, the AF did cut the incoming class size, compared to classes for 13 and 14. Can't be sure, but I recall that AFROTC cancelled ISPS for 14.
IMPO, that also relates to one of the reasons why the rate for SFT jumped from 55% to 93% in one yr.,(14 grads) while they only increased the slots available by 4%.
~~~ The pool was smaller!
My best wishes, hopes and thoughts.
~~~ Posters know when I place this bet that I mean it.
~ I will bet my beloved Myrtle, that this will be another high % selected yr.
~~ 1. AF cut their numbers for SA/ROTC 3-4 yrs ago. They are on target. Look at the AFA class size for 12 compared to 16. They started off with 1600 apptmts for 12, and @1350 for 16. Basically 20% reduction.
~~ 2. Every airline has acknowledged that there will be a pilot shortage starting in 5 yrs. That means starting with the class of 09, AF pilots can walk.
http://www.military.com/daily-news/2013/11/14/af-pilots-rejecting-bonuses-to-leave-service.html
Read the article...they are walking away from a 250K bonus at 32. to join the airlines.
~~3. There is an inverse relationship between unemployment and military attrition. When unemployment is low, attrition is high, when unemployment is high, attrition rate is low.
Just my 0.0198643 cents and throw it in the circular filing cabinet when you start walking down the path of SFT without understanding it is all about ADAF needs.
~ AF is not the Army. 100% commissioned in 16 will go ADAF. There is no Guard or Reserve option.