The AFA and the USNA play the system differently.
Mongo could be 1000% correct about the USNA numbers, afterall they are a BGO for the USNA.
So if he says it is basically a you're in for the USNA with at least one nom and 3Q than that should be respected.
Flipside, CC is correct about the way the AFA works the system. The change of applicant to candidate means you are competitive and will meet the board once you have a nom in hand for your WCS. It is not a done deal. The AFA does not send out 3 Q letters. Candidate means you cleared that hurdle.
I did check out that sticky and it is very dated because it was for the AFA classes of 07-10, currently we are at 15.
Anyone who has been involved with the AFA long enough knows that for the last few yrs @3K candidates get noms, and only 1600 are offered an apptmt. Most suspect that this yr because they are over the mandated 4400 cadets and the DOD slashing their budget, this yr the numbered offered an apptmt will be less than the traditional 1600...not saying get your panties in a wad out of fear, just saying, it could be 1400 instead of 1600. Again, the point is not to freak people out, but to illustrate how quickly material can become outdated, especially if you are looking at an 8 yr differential.
SAs are like the military they change, what was common place ifor the class of 2007 may not be the fact for 2015.
Again, SAs are different and operate within their confines. USMA and USNA hand out LOAs at a much, much higher rate than the AFA. That is just the way it works.
From what I have heard by others the USMA does not wait until the entire slate gets a WCS before appointing, I am not sure if these people understand that there is a difference between apptmt and charging when they stated that fact.
I tend to believe they are like the AFA and know historically what a high WCS and thus, they give the apptmt to them knowing that they will win the WCS if not for their MOC, but for the President, or Supe.
I cannot fathom that an MOC that did not give out principal has been charged their appointee yet, especially since the books have yet to close.
In the end, the importance of this conversation is to give facts about the process for the SA that you are intimately involved with, not to argue/debate the system that each SA uses.