One major effect of the drawdown in deployments and the force in general is a slowdown in promotion rates. It looks as though the promotion rates have slowed drastically for officers in the Army. In prior years, the promotion list would have been exhausted by now, to include the BZ promotions. It's probably going to take an additional year for all of my YG's promotees to pin, which will extend some to the 10.5 year mark to pin O4. The Clinton-era promotion rates have returned. I'd ask about the other services, but I don't know of anyone on the board who is at that point in their careers yet.