Having seen some demand lately for probabilities of being appointed, I have decided to take my vast knowledge of the Admissions process and provide some statistics I have calculated on my own. I am so confident in my statistics that I virtually guarantee they are 100 percent accurate. Chances of being admitted No app submitted: 0% 3Q'd without a nomination: 0% Not 3Q'd but with a nomination: 0% 3Q'd with a nomination: 50% (You either will be appointed or won't) Previously appointed: 100% Chances of knowing by July 1st: 100% There is no need to thank me for doing this research as I'm always happy to help! On a serious note having a son in your shoes a year ago, you have done all you can and you WILL get an answer soon (Albeit not soon enough). Enjoy your senior year and try not to dwell on this site looking for chances. Remember a watched pot never boils. I wish you all the best luck!