10 will get you 20 that they have not been announced yet. Do not confuse that because it is a VP apptmt that they are the best of the best. The VP exists to allow the AFA wiggle room for a candidate to obtain their apptmt.
For example, Candidate A from Sen 1 gets the apptmt. That leaves Candidate B out in the weeds with no other nom, however, the AFA wants him/her. They use the VP slot to appt Candidate B.
VP apptmts are usually the last to come out. A couple of yrs ago there was a parent here who had a child receive a VP appt to the USMA @ Memorial Day weekend.
In the upcoming yr you will start to see that for any SA this is creating a puzzle and they have no clue what the picture is on the box.
This will be confusing, but I hope you can follow me.
Every candidate can get a VP nom, thus your chances of receiving an apptmt via VP is 1 in 3000. Traditionally, out of the original pool only 3000 candidates will have a nom. Now when it comes to the actual apptmt, only 1 or 2 out of 1600 will be assigned to the VP.
The most important thing is to have a nom, because than the AFA can wrangle how to get in the best candidates. You may have only a VP nom., but because you do they can charge you to other sources. For example, they can charge you to Supe's list. The Supe cannot nom anyone, but can be charged. You come in as the VP nom (unlimited), but your ACTUAL apptmt will be SUPE.
Now here comes Janie RainCloud. The chances of getting A VP apptmt without receiving an MOC nom, is very slight. VP is just saying I am a citizen applying. Your MOC is going to look at your entire resume. If you don't make their cut for a nom (caveat: states like VA, NY, CA, CO, TX are very competitive), it is highly unlikely your stats are going to be high enough to win the appt from the VP.
ALL apptmts are based on your WCS, highest person wins. CAVEAT: recruited athletes.