What can I do to become a Pilot?

Stealth_81 said:
My son is proof that the dream can come true. Today he is scheduled to do his first air refueling sortie in the F-16.
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Congratulations Stealth_81 to you and your son! It is easy to tell that you are justifiable proud and your son is an excellent example of how the dream does come true for some people.....but you have to be willing to work for it.
 
hornetguy said:
(Bayesian Statistics).

P(G|W)=P(W|G)*P(G)/P(W) = prob they wanted it given they got it (probably really high) times the probability they got it divided by the probability they wanted it. Let's assume P(W|G)=95%, P(G)=50%, P(W)=50%.

Then P(G|W) = P(W|G)=~95%.
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I was going to use Bayesian Statistics in my evaluation but decided I didn't want to confuse anyone and most importantly I didn't know what they were.:eek:

What's the bottom line? Can anyone be an Air Force pilot that can pass the physical? :cool:
 
aglages said:
I was going to use Bayesian Statistics in my evaluation but decided I didn't want to confuse anyone and most importantly I didn't know what they were.:eek:

What's the bottom line? Can anyone be an Air Force pilot that can pass the physical? :cool:
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If was pretty common knowledge that if you made it to graduation and wanted pilot, you were going to get it unless you were at the bottom of the class. I guess I ignored commissioning rates in that, so you'd have to consider those rates as well. If you start from entrance as the assumption, then you would have to condition on getting a pilot slot given they wanted it and commissioning.

The statistics start getting kinda whacky and I'd need to brush up. Bottom line being that the percentage depends on the qualifications of the applicant. If they are fully qualified to get an appointment, then getting a pilot slot ain't hard. The big winging hurdles are getting into a commissioning source and then going from commissioning to wings. The USAFA component has a pretty low impact I'd say.
 
Agreed with Hornet. My simplistic numbers were from "Hey, USAFA sounds cool. I guess I'll apply" kind of standpoint.

Obviously, being a strong applicant helps your odds of getting into USAFA/ROTC/OTS. Then, doing well in your commissioning program GREATLY enhances your chances of getting a UPT slot. In UPT, doing well is pretty much a prerequisite to getting T-38s. Depending on timing, being the top of your T-38 class may or may not be required to get a fighter.
 
I am from the era when 75% of the incoming class had to be pilot qualified on the DODMERB.

In my graduating squadron, I can only think of 6 or 7 that went to UPT...the rest either were not PQ on their last physical, or didn't want to go.

Now since they don't have to be PQ upon entering, I am sure the numbers are even lower...
 
aglages said:
What'st the bottom line? Can anyone be an Air Force pilot that can pass the physical? :cool:
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No, but an AFA grad that passes the physical, and doesn't get airsick can get a UPT slot...mostly.
 
Buff-IP said:
No, but an AFA grad that passes the physical, and doesn't get airsick can get a UPT slot...mostly.
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Agreed...to get a UPT slot. However getting to the point where you are PQd and graduating from USAFA in order to just get the UPT slot....may be a little difficult. Then of course there is the wash out rate from IFS and UPT to consider when we are looking at how difficult it is to get winged, let alone a fighter.
 
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