Waitlist

littlerascal

5-Year Member
Joined
Dec 18, 2011
Messages
8
Our BGO told my DS that he was put on the waitlist today. He said to hang in there because every day that passes, there is still a chance. The BGO feels that he is at the "top of the heap" of the waitlist.

1. How many people are probably on the waitlist?
2. What is the acceptance rate of those remaining candidates that haven't already accepted their offers of appointment?
3. Does our BGO know where DS stands on waitlist?
4. What are the realistic chances of an appointment at this point?
 
Our BGO told my DS that he was put on the waitlist today. He said to hang in there because every day that passes, there is still a chance. The BGO feels that he is at the "top of the heap" of the wait list.

Honestly, I'm not sure the basis for this statement. BGOs typically aren't told where their candidates stand on the WL.

1. How many people are probably on the wait list?

USNA has said that the number varies from year to year but is usually somewhere between 50 and 150.

2. What is the acceptance rate of those remaining candidates that haven't already accepted their offers of appointment?

No one knows this. That's why there's a WL. If the number USNA expects to accept actually do so, no one will come off the WL. If the number of acceptances is less than expected, that number will come of the WL.

3. Does our BGO know where DS stands on wait list?

No. In the past, USNA has said they don't rank the WL.

4. What are the realistic chances of an appointment at this point?

No one can really say at this point. Some years, quite a few (though never more than 50 per USNA) come off the WL. Some years, zero do. Given the smaller class size this year, I would expect not too many on the WL will receive appointments. However, no one can predict what a bunch of 17 and 18-yr-olds with appointment letters in hand will do.

As Jadler03 said, proceed with Plan B and, if good news comes your way, great.
 
USNAmom

My DS also received a wait list letter and was disappointed. His brother is currently a plebe which made it a little tougher. He is following his plan B and he is considering applying next year if this does not work out. Does anyone know if he should start the application process for next year now or wait until he knows for sure if he is in or out?
 
Does anyone know if he should start the application process for next year now or wait until he knows for sure if he is in or out?

Wait. No one (BGOs, MOCs) will be focusing on the Class of 2017 until June. While you can certainly start MOC applications, the CFA, etc. at that time, USNA won't even consider college students until after first semester college grades are in.

Also, you could be one to receive good news.
 
Wait listed here in Alabama. Currently attending Marion Military Institute. Will finsih out here if not accepted.
 
Wait-listing is going to be very difficult to predict this year in particular because so many parameters have changed from what they were in the recent past. Consider:
A. All of the academies have reduced their class sizes, ergo candidates who have offers are more likely to accept them than before because they likely won't get the multiple offers that were common recently.
B. It sounds as though NAVY is not experiencing the normal number of rejected offers it is used to having. Out of almost 1,000 offers out only 33 were declined. If you look at recent experience as reported by Admissions, NAVY has been extending 1400 to 1500 offers to get about 1225 acceptances. So normally at this stage you would expect 80 to 100 declined offers.
C. What doesn't show in the numbers released is the block of 200-300 that go to NAPS an Foundation preppers, and I would expect there are very few of those offers that aren't accepted.
This just is going to be a very different year from the recent past so I would expect your BGOs are struggling to ferret out what is likely. I also would suspect that most of their evaluations are based upon what their analysis of relative strength of candidates is on their particular slate. Generally that is what we are left to do, as Admissions does tend to be very tight-lipped about its projections.
Best wishes to all the WL's; it is frutrating, but at least you're still in the hunt.
 
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