As of a week ago COL McDonald indicated it would be a very low number off the NWL this year, if any. The class was almost full with under 100 offers still outstanding. She also indicated she would start pulling unaccepted offers in anticipation of May 1.
I'd have to check my notes, but the figure I heard for 2016 multiple times during the conference was 1150, 100 down from 2015. Which was 100 down from 2014. Over 15k applicants this year. Between the current reduced class size trend and increased attrition they expect to get back to the new authorized size before long.
They are also being more selective on MAPS this year, with less receiving offers. (Testing or behavior could keep you out)
And, the clear message from multiple directions is "less tolerance for screwing up as a cadet" (Direct quote). Not necessarily more regs, but significantly less 2nd and 3rd chances before separation. Especially for drug/alcohol offenses, blowing post, etc. And for sure for Article 15 items which are normally legal issues, not just regs.
This is not just the pendulum swinging on alcohol, the Army force reduction is driving some of this. You won't get separated for a bad inspection, but "If your performance/behavior indicates you are not committed we are going to free up that slot for someone who wants it more". (Direct quote during DMI/TAC briefing)
They also expect to lose some firsties yet this year. "Some manage to screw up each year less than a month before graduation and will be separated". Based on recent reports that prediction appears to be accurate. And USMA is effectively a dry post as of today.
One last thought for those still waiting- In our state we had a 2016 prior service appointee who made the decision to decline so he could deploy with his unit. For those of you anxious about getting in, his example is one to ponder. This is not about college, it's about serving!