I agree with WestPoint2017 and I'll add the following:
Assuming all 3Q'ed males were nominated (may not be true) = 1800 pool
1000 Males Admitted
430 males from MOC slates (535 slots and assume 80% were male);
105 females from MOC slates (535 minus 430)
175 from USMAPS (# male);
150 go to highest WCS by law
Leaves 140 spots available to meet diversity goals and fill out the class size. I'll grant you that some MAPS candidates may have won an MOC seat but not likely a large number (as MAPS candidates were originally not considered academically qualified).
So in other words, IF:
- you don't win your competitive MOC slot, and
- you aren't a Primary nominee by your MOC, and
- you are not in the top 150 NWL pool
THEN:
the 800 males not admitted were competing for the 140 remaining slots to fill out the class. Of those slots, some percentage went to diversity candidates (gender, ethnicity, region, life experience) and prior service (Presidential, AD, MOH decendent). That would give a 17.5% admission rate assuming all 140 slots had been available to non-diversity and prior service males (highly unlikely). So in reality, your best odds are in winning your MOC slot - and especially if you are male.
This analysis might be better against the entire 3Q'ed male and female population but the same principles apply.
Message: Regardless of your gender,
follow Tugboat's advice and get that WCS as high as possible!