2018 House Elections

academyboundd

Member
Joined
Jul 13, 2018
Messages
51
So if my current congressman loses his election in November, how will that affect my nomination process?
 
MoC churn is a given every election cycle and, as such, the MoC nomination processes typically move forward without skipping a beat.

IMHO, of all of the things that can keep applicants up at night, I would not make this one one them. Staff members in each office are well aware of the academy deadlines and will make sure that nominations are processed (with or without a change in representation).
 
Agree with @FMHS-79, the staff of the MoC office will most likely ensure that the process moves forward even as a transition occurs.

Focus on the things you CAN control.
Don't worry about the things you CAN'T.
 
Keep in mind also that MOCs lean heavily on their selection panels — active duty and retired military, SA grads, civilian officials, community members. These are the folks who interview, evaluate, rank and recommend. Regardless of how an election turns out, they’ll see the process through.
 
No two offices are the same if there is a transition, but many out going MOCs will submit their slate prior to departure. It is usually coordinated ahead of time between MOCs.
 
So if my current congressman loses his election in November, how will that affect my nomination process?
From which district are you?
I'll make a guess if he wins or loses.
KS-03, Representative Yoder.
This will be a close one. Incumbents this cycle are being primaried out. Yoder won his but has stiff resistance from the resistance in the general election. As with many mid-terms in November, KS 3 will depend on turnout. My wife is from that area and still has family there. The demographics have shifted a bit and I call this a toss up, but if I was forced to make a call, I would say Yoder will win.
 
So if my current congressman loses his election in November, how will that affect my nomination process?
From which district are you?
I'll make a guess if he wins or loses.
KS-03, Representative Yoder.
This will be a close one. Incumbents this cycle are being primaried out. Yoder won his but has stiff resistance from the resistance in the general election. As with many mid-terms in November, KS 3 will depend on turnout. My wife is from that area and still has family there. The demographics have shifted a bit and I call this a toss up, but if I was forced to make a call, I would say Yoder will win.
Hopefully he does. If only I were 18 sooner and could have a say!
 
From which district are you?
I'll make a guess if he wins or loses.

Devil Doc, how do you see the Senate race in Michigan going? Stabenown (Dem) held office since 2001 vs. John James (GOP) Iraq Veteran
This is an interesting race. As you noted, she has been in office three terms. She sits on committees important to Michiganders. James has a good story though and is a great communicator. As you've probably seen, Stabenow has a big lead in the polls but the polls have not always proven accurate as of late. I think James will close the gap by November but Stabenow will win.
 
Devil Doc, how do you see the Senate race in Michigan going? Stabenown (Dem) held office since 2001 vs. John James (GOP) Iraq Veteran

I am in MI; Stabenow has a huge lead in polls but James has not run any TV ads yet since primary so polls may be a bit misleading.
If he can campaign effectively in Detroit and other heavily African American areas he might be able to get close.
MI will have no straight ticket ballots this year so it will be a little harder for Stabenow to run the table in traditionally Democratic precincts. Apparently she has strong base in Michigan's Agricultural bloc [farm subsidies etc.] so its not just the urban areas.

Pence was here for a fundraiser 2 weeks back; if James can get a war chest to pay for ads he might have a chance.

Stabenow is blessed with Forrest Gump like luck on election cycle timing - she has never run in a year that did not heavily favor her party or her turnout chances. If she ran in 2016 she would have lost as the straight ticket wave carried all Republicans that year. I am hard pressed to tell you what she has accomplished for citizens of MI here since she was first elected - only news I remember was when her husband was busted leaving a 'No tell' motel with a working girl.
 
I am in MI; Stabenow has a huge lead in polls but James has not run any TV ads yet since primary so polls may be a bit misleading.
If he can campaign effectively in Detroit and other heavily African American areas he might be able to get close.
MI will have no straight ticket ballots this year so it will be a little harder for Stabenow to run the table in traditionally Democratic precincts. Apparently she has strong base in Michigan's Agricultural bloc [farm subsidies etc.] so its not just the urban areas.

Pence was here for a fundraiser 2 weeks back; if James can get a war chest to pay for ads he might have a chance.

Stabenow is blessed with Forrest Gump like luck on election cycle timing - she has never run in a year that did not heavily favor her party or her turnout chances. If she ran in 2016 she would have lost as the straight ticket wave carried all Republicans that year. I am hard pressed to tell you what she has accomplished for citizens of MI here since she was first elected - only news I remember was when her husband was busted leaving a 'No tell' motel with a working girl.

During his campaign, Trump posed the question to the African American community: What has the Democratic Party done for you in the past 20 years? Fair question as that segment of America has not advanced as far as they could have. There was decent African American support for Trump. Unemployment is at record lows for all minority groups. The fact that James is African American, an Iraq war hero, and a successful business owner may play well in the typical Democratic cities like Detroit, Flint, Saginaw, etc. People may vote with their wallets and success of the economy. Stabenow is a member of the party who called the tax cuts "crumbs" and they want their crumbs back (repeal tax cuts). I can't see why anyone would vote for Stabenow.
 
This thread seems to be getting a little off topic..... The OP had a valid question and I don't think OP asked about how effective certain politicians have been.
 
Agree with @FMHS-79, the staff of the MoC office will most likely ensure that the process moves forward even as a transition occurs.

Focus on the things you CAN control.
Don't worry about the things you CAN'T.
Often, the new MOC will reuse the selection committee that is already in place. I serve on the committee for both senators and have done so though two transitions as have the rest of the committee. Many of the staffers have carried through across the transitions as well
 
Back
Top