JMPO, but if I was looking long run, I would probably say go RPA and unless he says he would spend the rest of his life asking What If?
Here are my reasons why
1. Defense contractors will pay good money with military experience.
~ My DH flew fighters as an F15E WSO. He hit his ADAF retirement button with a 1 yr notice to the AF. Prior to hitting the button he already had 3 job offers with defense contractors. It came down to working with the 22 program or the 35. He opted for the 35. Please note neither of these planes have WSOs, but bc of his military experience in fighters and weapons, they needed someone that had the experience and tell the manufacturers, NOPE that ain't gonna fly from the AF's POV. (no pun intended). He could explain exactly why from real experience.
~ The same impo would be true for anyone going RPA.
2. The commitment is shorter.
~ Once operational, they can start on the Masters degree, using the AF dime since it runs concurrent. By the time they hit the 6 yr marker they will also have their grad. degree. See above
3. Technology is moving very fast.
~ Think about it. 10 yrs ago Amazon was just starting to hit their stride, nobody envisioned packages being delivered by drones.
4. Commercial pilot shortage.
~ Everyone keeps thinking this is a good reason to go pilot. This is wrong to me.
~~ A. Just like any industry there will come a day of equilibrium. The hiring phase will slow down and they may find that they will have to take the bonus from the AF bc the airlines are not hiring as fast as they are currently
~~B. Airline starting pay is low, low, low. The old days many stayed until 20, so they could survive on airline starting pay by using their retirement pay. They also took the bonus to build up their savings. These days, many are like my ADAF DS, saving a ton of $$$ so they can continue to live on that small pay instead of accepting that 6 figure pilot bonus. The amt of pilots taking the pilot bonus (250K) is insanely low.
~~C. See above #3. 20 yrs ago, many airlines had a crew of 3 in the cockpit. (pilot, co-pilot, flight engineer). Now it is 2. This included companies like FedEx and UPS. I bet in 10 yrs from now, with the technology coming down, you will see companies like FedEx and UPS having a co-pilot that is automated, thus, they will only need 1 pilot in the cockpit. Hence, the hiring craze will be reduced. Plus, if technology grows like that, they are going to need the RPA pilot on the ground
~~D. I have 3 friends. Their fathers are all AF pilots (fighters) that now fly commercially. Their kids all went/going to private pilot schools (commercial) instead of college. The parents had no issue with this because airlines don't care if you have a college degree, they care about hrs. In essence it came out to be the same cost as college. They understand that they will have to work their way up the ladder. However, it is only 2 yrs. for the program, and they will be competitive for commercials within 6-9 yrs after winging. They too will be in the pilot shortage equation.
Just saying my opinion and with $2.07 you can get a small coffee at Starbucks.
Good luck