Am I in a bad spot if I don’t hear back until April 15th?

Very much this. Personally, my offer was dated in mid February and that was probably about average but my son was notified of his appointment during the first week of December which was well before the Congressman or Senator's Noms were decided. He ended up with noms from 1 Senator, the MOC and a Presidential but USNA was ready to make an offer to him pretty early and remember, there were candidates who hadn't finished their apps at that point.

Sometimes, the Early Bird DOES get the worm.

I suspect that bird would have gotten the worm no matter when he applied!
 
I have a question re: your youngest that was on the wait list till May. In terms of Plan B, did you put down a deposit on the May 1 for his/her Plan B college?
Thanks for asking this question - I've been wondering too. I think we would try to put the deposit down to hold the spot.
 
So my DS did not hear until April 17 (two years ago). We had deposit down on both dorm and school. We kept it there until plebe summer was over. When my DS emailed after plebe summer and said he was at USNA, they gave us the entire deposit back and wished him good luck (which is not their stated policy.)
 
So my DS did not hear until April 17 (two years ago). We had deposit down on both dorm and school. We kept it there until plebe summer was over. When my DS emailed after plebe summer and said he was at USNA, they gave us the entire deposit back and wished him good luck (which is not their stated policy.)
That’s really great! I’m happy it worked out for you guys.
 
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