Any CPR receive TWE?

Dr Strange Love, MOST of their apps transfer over. They will get a new candidate number and new login information in the early fall. They should do most of their MOC Nom packages before they leave for INDOC, but what they don't complete they will finish in the early fall at NAPS (my son had his all completed and mailed in by the time he reported for InDoc. Then, at some point after they get back from Christmas break, they all have to update the Personal Data section of their USNA application. They won't have to write a new personal statement, but they have to input their new courses they've been taking at NAPS, etc and update any changes to their personal data. They will do this together as a class during one of their study periods, with direct NAPS admin direction and supervision. I'm sending you a private message with additional info so not to hijack this thread.
 
The staff at NAPS will help then with new application. I don’t think the new application part is a big deal. If I am recalling correctly they gather them and they update it.
 
usna1985 said:
Based on timing of prior years, at this point you’re more likely to get a TWE than an appointment. That said, there are still many folks who will get good news. It IS time to make sure you have other options in place and then wait for April 15.

While cold comfort, there are many, many terrific candidates who simply become a victim of the numbers game. Too many highly qualified candidates, fewer slots in the entering class due to lower attrition, and higher yield combine to make things difficult for many outstanding young men and women.
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What would you say is a rough estimate (percentage wise) for CPRs in March. This is taking me by surprise a bit because I heard most people were expected to hear in February and March and now it seems like it’s too late.
 
alwayshungry8 said:
What would you say is a rough estimate (percentage wise) for CPRs in March. This is taking me by surprise a bit because I heard most people were expected to hear in February and March and now it seems like it’s too late.
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Approx 20% still left based on previous years metrics
 
Hi, Do you receive an email saying your portal updated before you receive the TWE? Good luck to everyone Thank you
 
My guess is 20% of appointments are still unfilled. Complete guesstimate obviously. Based on the metrics of appointment notifications by month for last 3 years on SAF.
 
That's not a bad guess. If you guess that only 10% of the offers of appointment are reported here, and the appointment thread has only two (2) offers reported this month (when there were 19 for the month of March last year), that could mean (in pure guessing terms) that there are 17 x 10 or 170 more offers to go, this month.

If you extend the wild guessing to the total number reported in the appointment thread right now (103), that could mean that 1,030 offers have gone out already. This leaves about 345 more offers, still to be determined.

You know, if we're guessing.
 
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THParent said:
That's not a bad guess. If you guess that only 10% of the offers of appointment are reported here, and the appointment thread has only two (2) offers reported this month (when there were 19 for the month of March last year), that could mean (in pure guessing terms) that there are 17 x 10 or 170 more offers to go, this month.

If you extend the wild guessing to the total number reported in the appointment thread right now (103), that could mean that 1,030 offers have gone out already. This leaves about 345 more offers, still to be determined.

You know, if we're guessing.
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That's a lot of offers! I honestly thought at least 40% of the offers are from March until the end of April, but I guess not.
 
THParent said:
That's not a bad guess. If you guess that only 10% of the offers of appointment are reported here, and the appointment thread has only two (2) offers reported this month (when there were 19 for the month of March last year), that could mean (in pure guessing terms) that there are 17 x 10 or 170 more offers to go, this month.

If you extend the wild guessing to the total number reported in the appointment thread right now (103), that could mean that 1,030 offers have gone out already. This leaves about 345 more offers, still to be determined.

You know, if we're guessing.
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I think 345 remaining is a very good number ….
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Well. Last Friday when my Crystal Orb spoke to me after morning Coffee … it revealed to me that 61% of offers went out. Using my own intuition, I would say we are past the peak of a Poisson Distribution, and 23% remaining under the Curve sounds about right.
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