Beyond the physical number of seats on the bus being 1/3 that of USNA, this is my opinion based on watching years of admissions cycles and my personal exploration of the public data. When you break down the math for how USCGA uses its limited slots, the percentage chance of acceptance is quite small. I love the conversation and the data and would invite anyone to present a compelling counter argument. When you consider the number of slots used for their prep program (20% vs USNA 17%), their gender composition goals (40% vs USNA 30%), and their diversity goals (35+%) - the math for first-time applicants is very small.
For discussion sake, if I am a white male who applies to both USNA and USCGA as a HS Senior (first time applicant) - basing the following on appointments offered vs class size to present the minimum requirement of just receiving an appointment.
| | | |
---|
| USNA | USCGA | |
Appointments Offered | 1426 | 368 | |
Prep School seats | 244 | 77 | |
Appointments Left | 1182 | 291 | |
Historic Minority Appointments | 473 (40%) | 102 (35%) | |
Appointments Left | 709 | 189 | |
Gender Split | (71%) | (60%) | |
Appointments Left | 503 | 113 | |
| | | |
TOTAL OFFERS | 1426 | 368 | |
Slots for this demographic | 503 | 113 | |
% makeup for this applicant | 35% | 31% | |
The true USNA acceptance rate is not 8%. The published figures factor in literally anyone who opened an account within their portal. It does not represent completed applications nor does it represent those who truly met minimum requirements. This is not unique to USNA - every college will report numbers in this manner because it sounds more prestigious.
Let's break it down by using USNA's current published stats for the most recent class:
Applications Opened | 15699 |
Appointments Offered | 1426 |
TOP LINE ACCEPTANCE RATE | 9% |
Class Portrait page for Admissions at USNA.edu. Updated Sun Apr 21 04:34:10 EDT 2024.
www.usna.edu
However, if you dig deeper, the number of completed applications is lower and the number of people the school considers "qualified" is way way lower.
I do not see the figures publicly posted for USNA, so let's dive into USAFA who does post it all in black and white (Class of 2024):
| | | |
---|
| USAFA c/o 24 | USMA c/o 24 | USCGA typical |
Applications Opened | 10669 | 15901 | |
Appointments Offered | 1416 | | |
Admitted | | 1232 | |
TOP LINE ACCEPTANCE RATE | 13% | 8% | |
| | | |
Candidate Pool (completed applications) | 9197 | | 1853 |
Appointments Offered | 1416 | | 368 |
POOL ACCEPTANCE RATE | 15% | | 20% |
| | | |
Qualified Candidate Pool | 2588 | 2065 | |
Appointments Offered | 1416 | 1232 | |
BOTTOM LINE ACCEPTANCE RATE | 55% | 60% | |
https://www.usafa.edu/app/uploads/Class-of-2024-Info-Sheet.pdf
https://s3.amazonaws.com/usma-media/inline-images/about/g5/Class_2024_Profile_v2.pdf
At the end of the day, the number you have in your brain for the acceptance rate of a Service Academy will be a derivative of the candidate pool you consider your competition.
1) Do I consider my competition to be anyone who opened an application? If so - 9%
2) Do I consider my competition to be anyone who actually completed the full application? If so - likely 15%
3) Do I consider my competition to be the pool of people who actually were considered qualified for the school? If so - likely 55%