EA selection percentage prediction

My guess is once one Det. finds out, all of them should know but it's at their discretion to inform who got them.

As for the date, we were told the 22 and that is obviously not the case. Anything beyond that is just speculation, because we won't know when the board will conclude.
 
Better hope it's not the last week in April. My DS's last final is April 25 and I've already sent him a plane ticket to bring him back home to the west coast to visit his family before SFT.

In a perfect world this will give him a 3 week visit before heading back east for Max 1!:shake::shake::shake::cool::cool::thumb::thumb::
 
Idk when EAs are actually coming out, but there is absolutely no way they would come out the last week of April when Max 1 starts like May 13th. Last year EA results were delayed a little less than 3 weeks and that delay was an extreme case. The were supposed to know March 20th, didn't find out until April 11th. I would say worse case scenario we are looking at another 2 weeks of torture.
 
Non Ducor Duco said:
Idk when EAs are actually coming out, but there is absolutely no way they would come out the last week of April when Max 1 starts like May 13th. Last year EA results were delayed a little less than 3 weeks and that delay was an extreme case. The were supposed to know March 20th, didn't find out until April 11th. I would say worse case scenario we are looking at another 2 weeks of torture.
Click to expand...

Well the one thing that I like about that April 11 date from last year is that April 11, 2013 was a THURSDAY.

Tomorrow is THURSDAY !! :shake: :shake:
 
Instead of predicting EA selection percentages, we should have predicted when the EA results would be released. I think we all would have been wrong on that guess!
 
FlyingWildcatDad said:
Instead of predicting EA selection percentages, we should have predicted when the EA results would be released. I think we all would have been wrong on that guess!
Click to expand...

Ok.....I'm in a mood for long shots....so I'm going with TODAY.

I feel lucky as I woke up (dogs)and decided to check and see if my last minute E-filing was accepted by the IRS... and Hip Hip Horay ... it's been accepted

Unfortunately since my refund won't be here for another week or two I don't have lot of money to back my bet...

Hopefully that will be a bad thing!!!!! :yllol: :yllol: :yllol:

Good Night
 
Capt, you stole my guess! Look back on page 10 of this thread and you can see that was my last revised prediction, lol!
 
Capt. Ahab said:
I'm going to go with 61%. Implying 1600 get it out of ~2600 total.
Click to expand...

Curious to know where you are getting that ~2600 number.....if last year was a ~91% rate and there were ~2200 slots...that would have been out of ~2420 cadets...

I believe that the consensus of this forum that there is at ~ 150% the number of 200/250's that there were last year.....

using those numbers....it puts the number of cadets looking for EA's at ~3600 ......I'm not liking this number if 1600 are getting EA's.... then it's looking ~44-45%

OUCH!

If you drop that increase from last year to 125%....changes the number of hopefuls to ~3000 .....and going with 1600 EA's ....brings percentage up to ~53%

still OUCH!
 
Last edited:
If the 1600 number is correct than I believe that alot of good cadets are going to be disappointed, so ouch is right! Don't remember where I seen it, but if I recall correctly, 2800+ cadets are competing this year. Of course this is all just rumors until the actual numbers and percentages come out. So we continue to wait!
 
ERAUMattmom said:
Curious to know where you are getting that ~2600 number.....if last year was a ~91% rate and there were ~2200 slots...that would have been out of ~2420 cadets...

I believe that the consensus of this forum that there is at ~ 150% the number of 200/250's that there were last year.....

using those numbers....it puts the number of cadets looking for EA's at ~3600 ......I'm not liking this number if 1600 are getting EA's.... then it's looking ~44-45%

OUCH!

If you drop that increase from last year to 125%....changes the number of hopefuls to ~3000 .....and going with 1600 EA's ....brings percentage up to ~53%

still OUCH!
Click to expand...

I was being generous with a lower number. I think that 3600 is way too much. Our Det., and most others from what I've heard, is still cutting kids before the board.

I think it will be in the 2600~2800 range. I hope the amount selected is at least higher than 1600.
 
Capt. Ahab said:
I was being generous with a lower number. I think that 3600 is way too much. Our Det., and most others from what I've heard, is still cutting kids before the board.

I think it will be in the 2600~2800 range. I hope the amount selected is at least higher than 1600.
Click to expand...

I think that 3600 is also too much....but ERAU is up to 67 from 48 ....that's 139% from last year....

Using the samples of the posters detachments earlier this year many were up a similar percentage..

Where does your detachment stand at this point vs last year??
 
ERAUMattmom said:
I think that 3600 is also too much....but ERAU is up to 67 from 48 ....that's 139% from last year....

Using the samples of the posters detachments earlier this year many were up a similar percentage..

Where does your detachment stand at this point vs last year??
Click to expand...

We're only up like 10 percent. Which is four people.

Another thing is so what if the Carde wasn't as stringent this year on who they nominated. They could just rank the cadet low and let the EA selection process do the work for them. This would result in the same cadets going, just a lower percentage. Which goes back to if "the better your scores, the more likely you are to receive support".
 
Capt. Ahab said:
It seems as though there are more cadets this year and with the atmosphere the Air Force is currently in, a low percentage would not be too much of a surprise. Our Commander warned us of an acceptance rate similar to that of 2011. Saying a lot of good cadets would be cut.

But one interesting thing a member of my Cadre mentioned was the fact that rated will perform better. "We're the Air Force, it's what we do".

Anticipation kills!
Click to expand...

Wow Capt......you get some pretty good advance 411 from your Cadre.
I have new appreciation for your posts!
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top