Although I understand you wanting to understand the past landscape of noms in your district, it really isn't relevant. In any one year, all that it takes for your district to be extremely competitive is 1 other candidate that has better stats than you. Just 1 person can knock you to the NWL where you have a lot more competition. I do wish you the best of luck, but concentrate your time and efforts into things that you can control to improve yourself as a student and person.