Thank you,
@Stealth_81, you bring up excellent points that I agree with, and I believe I was too vague with my first message. Perhaps it's all the podcasts and Ted talks I've been listening to lately on the psychology of successful people, but I felt the need to add to the discussion the psychological aspect of a backup plan.
As you mention,
crisis planning should not be overlooked, whether as an entrepreneur, a pilot, in terms of natural disasters, or other uncontrollable potential circumstances you may find your self in.
However, my thought is
crisis won't happen for the majority of people. And, if every reader here were to create a contingency plan... well that's why there's that agreement in the common app. However, as it is our human nature, we fear being stuck "in a pickle".
With regards to outcomes based on effort, I just wonder how the performance quality would be affected when an individual is in the throes of BCT caught up in the head game, and they see a shiny plan B (possibly full-ride) with their name on it that will also lead to becoming an officer. I believe a contingency plan, mentally, would be a distraction from the plan A. Not because they didn't really want plan A, but because it would add a whole other level to the challenge every cadet already goes through.
There's a study by Jihae Shin and Katherine L. Milkman in which two groups of participants were asked to unscramble sentences. Both groups were told that if they did well on the task, they’d be given a free snack (motivation enough for me) or the chance to leave the study early, but one group was also instructed to brainstorm other ways they could get free food or save time later in the day in case they didn’t perform well. The groups that had backup plans did less well on the task. Shin says “
When performance is effort-based, having a backup plan can cause you to put in less effort and demonstrate lower performance.”
In regards to school plans I agree that if someone really wanted to be somewhere, it would be a classic do-or-die where a plan B wouldn't even be in the picture. If the goal really is to become an officer, and not attend a specific school, there are potential plans A-Z that are a lot shinier that will take you to that goal. That is where the mental fortitude would truly be tested. In addition, a spot would be taken away from another deserving candidate. Thus, I fear a safety net could cause greater harm than potential good.
One of my favorite quotes is by Patrick Ness, and I believe it fits here: "
It's not how we fall.
It's how we get back up again." I guess my point with regard to outcomes based on effort is: don't have a plan B because you may never realize the highest potential of what you may otherwise achieve. But, if you happen to fail, don't squander the opportunity to take hold of your life and get back up stronger.
Just food for thought, as they say. I wish all those strategically planning the best of luck!
I think it would be really cool to study the performance of those with a Plan B vs. without in an environment designed to break people down such as a BCT.
If you're interested, here's a link to the study in the July 2016 issue of
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes:
https://news.wisc.edu/research-shows-backup-plans-may-keep-you-from-achieving-your-goal/
Cheers!