I love Carm23's use of the phrase "for admissions to fit everyone in." My DD is a '22. I had lots of conversations with parents from around the country. I'm NOT an ALO so my opinion is only opinion. But, I believe that if USAFA wants you, they will find a way to take you. I've heard of kids from one state getting assigned to the Congressman from another state who didn't use all noms. All this speculation and talk of principle noms and slates is, to me, a fun way to kill time while waiting. Bottom line is, if USAFA wants you, I think they will find a way to get you. That's why, people on this forum who have been around many years will tell you to concentrate on your own application, test scores, etc.... and not worry so much about the others in your district & state.