That makes sense. Do you think that means everyone who still hasn't heard anything back, not even on the waitlist, just didn't make it?
With the waitlist starting earlier than last year and some Falcon Scholars still waiting to hear back, I think it's hard to make an adequate comparison between this cycle and previous ones. I would say lock in your plan B, hang tight, and enjoy the outdoors doing something you love. Between now and I-Day, we will
all know our status. It's not the best thing to hear, I get that.
As a side note, I've heard a theory on Reddit that the waitlist is starting earlier because too many people haven't accepted or declined their appointments, and that the waitlist can buy admissions more time. I don't personally think that's true, as the WL letter highlights that they must wait until a seat opens up before they can offer me an appointment, but I'm highlighting this to show that you will hear a lot of theories. I was once a theorist when it came to admissions and tried to read between the lines, but at the end of the day, I was wrong and was feeding into nothing more than speculation. Unless it's something official, I would be very careful treating hand-me-down information or speculative ideas. The hard reality is that only admissions knows where they're at with appointments, how they're treating the waitlist, and what they plan to do with those who were not offered a spot on the WL.
I'm hoping it works out for all of us. But the best thing to do, as I've mentioned, is to make sure you know where you're going if you're not offered anything from USAFA, and to take care of yourself mentally (especially if it means taking a break from the forums) and physically. This wasn't written specifically just for you, but all of us who are still waiting. I know you asked a very honest question, and there was nothing wrong with wondering what it could mean when you see two different situations on a forum. As I was writing this, I felt some elements should be addressed, whether they had already been brought up or not. Hopefully, we all hear something good soon!