ww3

?

:-)

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do you guys think there will be another war that involves alot of countries? If so would the army be used or would atomic weapons be the solution.
 
:-) said:
do you guys think there will be another war that involves alot of countries? If so would the army be used or would atomic weapons be the solution.
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Just because I'm in one of those moods tonight:

I think the atomic weapons will be the solution: specifically the atomic wedgie :biggrin:

okay, now onto the serious answers....maybe.
 
The short answer is yes. I think there will be war as long as the world remains a collection of sovereign nations, which will be a very long time if not forever (this statement should NOT be interpreted that I support the US ever surrendering any portion of its sovereignty to anyone, including the UN). Treaties and alliances between nations have heightened the probability that disputes will involve multiple countries.

The question of whether nukes will be used really depends on whether we will ever tolerate a "total war", the kind where every civilian gets involved. Unfortunately, there are a number of situations where we can be angered enough to commit our nation to total war. If we ever do get to that point, we will use every weapon at our disposal to guaranty security of the United States.

One interesting footnote. In all of the war gaming that I was involved in on active duty, we regularly popped nukes (computer simulated) in training exercises involving Soviet-invasion scenarios. Everyone knew that when the simulated nukes started flying, it usually meant the end of the 2-3 week training exercise and we could go home and take showers. Although the Soviet Union is now defunct, it is not a stretch to see a similar threat arising again.
 
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Let's develop a risk probability matrix.
We'll rank the scenario's on likelihood and severity (1= low...5=very high)

Global war? very low probability - very high severity (1 * 5 = 5)
Large multinational regional war: (2*4= 8)
Regional war over some resource (water, food, oil): (3*3= 9)
Religious war (Muslim/Jew, Hindu/Muslim, etc) (2*3 = 6) or (2*4 = 8) if it spreads or involves India/Pak
Overthrow of a country where we have major treaty obligation: (4*2 = 8)
Overthrow where we have limited involvement: (5*1 = 5)

These are, of course, just my rankings. But from these I conclude that spending time worrying about WW3 is less productive than working now to mitigate the many world hot-spots.
 
I personally don't think there will be another world war anytime soon, but I do think that there could be one in the distant future.
 
:-) said:
do you guys think there will be another war that involves alot of countries? If so would the army be used or would atomic weapons be the solution.
Click to expand...

"I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones."

-Albert Einstein
 
Given enough time, the probability that any occurrance will happen eventually approaches 1.
 
linkgmr said:
Given enough time, the probability that any occurrance will happen eventually approaches 1.
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That's what I thought until they taught me otherwise in Probability and Statistics. The probability is the same regardless of time. :wink:
 
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