You also need to understand how the system works for new jets coming on line.
When they traditionally come on line they will have an initial cadre. You are not going to find butter bars in the initial cadre. What it will be will be select pilots that have IP experience, and many, many fighter hours. Sr. Captain will most likely be the youngest yr group you will find.
They then become the instructors for the FTU. From there the bulk of people getting the 35 will be from different air craft. The reason why is a TX course is shorter than a full FTU and you need more than just a cadre to get an FTU up and running. Plus you can't become an IP to teach new LTs if you just finished FTU as a LT. Once they have them in, than they will start taking a select few from UPT, but for the 1st few yrs it will be very select.
I am not a betting woman, but if I did bet, I would say maybe 1 or 2 a yr per base at first. The bulk of fighters that will be handed out will be 15.16 and 15Es. 22's will be handed out also, but because that is such a small community you will not see a lot get them either. Than again, I would say you would see more of them than a 35. The reason why is the 22 is already operational, thus, in 4 yrs from now, the initial cadre will be moving onto other positions like Wing King, Vice or DOG. That will open up the need to get new blood in the jet. (The 22 has been operational at the 90th for about 2 yrs now)
We were in Elmendorf for a yr before we saw a LT get assigned there, until then Bullet was the youngest and he had 7 yrs in. After him, then it did start spinning up for the young guys. However, that was probably 7 yrs (97) after the Strike came on line from an operational standpoint.
Bullet works on the F-35 program at the Pentagon. I am not sure he would agree with you that you will see them fully operational in 15. He can't tell me because that is classified and than he would have to kill me.
As others have stated it is great to have this dream, and you should aspire for it, but realize it is not only about how hard you have to work for it at UPT, it is also a timing issue.
The further out from 15 you enter UPT the higher chance of more 35s in the pipeline for UPT grads.
Also remember, never once have I ever heard of the AF meeting their delivery date. The 35 is not going to break that tradition at its current rate.