This is a good example of how LOAs are elusive and mysterious things — as often repeated on SAF. We tend to fixate on them and try hard to decipher them, but in the end, the SAs have their own rhyme and reason. DD received an LOA a couple of days before the national decision day of May 1. So yes, they can come at any time.
LOA's remain a mystery to me. Therefore (disclaimer) everything I'm about to say is pure speculation.
Question:
Why don't more candidates who have multiple offers of appointment have more than one LOA?
I understand that there may be candidates with multiple LOA's but only one reported offer of appointment, so their LOA data is somewhat hidden. But if a candidate is attractive enough to an SA to receive an LOA, why aren't they attractive enough to receive LOA's from the other SA's?
I would have thought that the candidates with multiple offers of appointment would also have multiple LOAs. But they don't:
Data:
If we only look at the 3 SAs that give out LOA's (USAFA, USMA & USNA) as reported on SAF today for C2025:
- There are 369 total offers of appointment
- Out of the 369, there are 34 candidates reporting 2 or more offers of appointment to the three mentioned SA's
- Out of the 34, there are 15 candidates reporting an LOA to at least one SA (44%)
- Out of the 34, there are only 2 with an LOA at two SA's (6%)
<- mystery to me
Theories:
- I wonder if the candidates with LOA's are being specifically recruited to just that SA. For example an athlete who has worked with a specific coach at a specific SA.
- I wonder if LOA's are dependent upon 1st/2nd choices (probably not)
- I wonder if SA's somehow coordinate to
not double up LOA's for a particular candidate (I also doubt this happens)
- I wonder if the desired skills/credentials of the SA's vary enough to differentiate the candidates (c'mon.. no way)
- I wonder if there are so many variables in the interviews, applications and reviewing of those applications that LOA's get distributed with only a 6% overlap...