+1 Bama and Jcleppe
When you start pinpointing specific colleges, you may get anecdotal information on this site, but it is best to directly ask the ROO from a historical perspective what the stats look like, but as Bama said that was last year and this is this year.
Example, In 07 our economy tanked BIG TIME. Parents mutual funds saw them decrease by 40%+, their homes that 1 year earlier was worth 100K more than their mtg were now worth 100K less than their mtg. (Folks could take an equity loan inn 06, but now in 07) Unemployment went from 5.5% to 7.5%
~ Kids were applying for every scholarship known to man, and many that never wanted to attend IS, faced the wake up call that this was going to be on the plate now because of family financial reasons.
Now in 06 an IS school might have had lower stats big time because in O6 Mom and Dad could drain a portion of their mutual funds, or take an equity line to send their baby to their dream school, but in 07 that was not true. The point is even using historical info can be deceiving from year to year.
~ Like now, parents are not as much worried about their child going into a war zone compared to 2011 (upcoming commissioning class). That impacted applications when you as a parent hear/read about death tolls. Their mutual funds had bounced back, and their mtg is probably or no longer underwater. Some were able to remove that old adage, if you want to attend that school you need a scholarship.
~~ That changes how many will apply.
JMPO, but anytime you apply to a college that has a nationally ranked sports program and is a public university the competition increases. Mizzou is one that when March Madness comes around most people will select to get into at least the Sweet 16.
~ I do not know the smaller Missouri IS universities, but my guess is it is no different than MD, NC, and VA. Every IS applicant will have Mizzou on their list, be it, safety, match or reach. It is a flagship college with 35K students. Every kid in NC will place either UNCCH or NCST on their list. VA students on a whole will place VT. MD kids will place UMDCP.
~~ Upshot Mizzou has an 81.5% acceptance rate, so even if you don't get the scholarship assigned to Mizzou, you probably will get accepted and be able to request a scholarship transfer.
FWIW, I think for an AROTC applicant your profile appears to be strong for receiving a scholarship.
Sorry for the long post, but my goal was to illustrate that there are many factors that you may have never considered when asking the question, but us older posters that have been here for a lengthy period can tell you that from a historical perspective one year to another things changed a lot.
I would also say, get your ducks in a row. If you have any medical condition, including simple things, such as, allergies past the age of 13, get your medical records in order now. Waivers can take a few weeks to 6-9 months.
~ Nothing worse than having your heart set on ROTC and that college, only to find out that you can't go ROTC, loss of scholarship which equates to not attending the dream school