USNA Class of 2028 Waiting and Speculating

Ivy22 said:
A lot of civilian colleges will usually accept well over their target/limit for freshmen class size because they know not everyone will ultimately matriculate to there. They have the yield stats from year-to-year and account for that in their acceptance decisions. @MidCakePa hit the nail on the head. It’s not always a 1-for-1 exchange of offer declined = someone else gets in. Now if it starts dipping below their target class size because of too many declines, then they’ll be going to the waitlist more and more. They’ll also go to the waitlist when trying to round out those last couple slots around May 1

Sometimes with the Ivies, if you get into 1, you get into some of the other ones too. The schools are well aware of this. At my school during admitted students weekend, I remember a lot of people were choosing between offers from us and the other Ivies (and Stanford/MIT/Cal/etc). They also collect information on which school you chose over them if you ultimately decide not to matriculate to them. From what I’ve been seeing on this website, it could be the same for the SAs where a candidate often gets into multiple academies in a cycle
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I certainly understand the calculated yield stats from year to year, but if the SA are offering more slots than they have, what would happen "hypothetically" if they had a year when more accepted than available slots? Would they recall an appointment?
 
tkinion said:
I certainly understand the calculated yield stats from year to year, but if the SA are offering more slots than they have, what would happen "hypothetically" if they had a year when more accepted than available slots? Would they recall an appointment?
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I can’t speak to other SAs, but this is rare for USNA. One year they were slightly over and nothing happened. This is exactly why they have the wait list. They know the target number and will pull from there. It’s also why some years that number is near zero. USNA has their yield down pretty good.
 
Let me give an example of one of dozens of examples that could happen…. Candidate A wins their slate. Candidate B is #2 for that MOC and also has a presidential nom and received their appointment a month ago. Candidate A chooses USCGA or doesn’t clear medical for whatever reason. USNA then moves Candidate B from the 100 Presidential Noms to that MOC slate. Then USNA moves someone from the NWL with a Presidential to that slate. You can see how the puzzle is constantly shifting and moving. One change can have a 3-4 or even more domino effect. It doesn’t mean that someone declines and a new appointment goes out. It could in some instances, in others not.
 
tkinion said:
I certainly understand the calculated yield stats from year to year, but if the SA are offering more slots than they have, what would happen "hypothetically" if they had a year when more accepted than available slots? Would they recall an appointment?
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At civilian schools, some single rooms turn into doubles. Some doubles turn into triples, and so on. They don’t recall acceptances if more people accept than they accounted for

I would guess it’s probably something similar at an SA

Plus, usually they overshoot by only a couple if it does happen, so it’s not that big of a deal to turn a couple doubles into triples
 
NavyHoops said:
Let me give an example of one of dozens of examples that could happen…. Candidate A wins their slate. Candidate B is #2 for that MOC and also has a presidential nom and received their appointment a month ago. Candidate A chooses USCGA or doesn’t clear medical for whatever reason. USNA then moves Candidate B from the 100 Presidential Noms to that MOC slate. Then USNA moves someone from the NWL with a Presidential to that slate. You can see how the puzzle is constantly shifting and moving. One change can have a 3-4 or even more domino effect. It doesn’t mean that someone declines and a new appointment goes out. It could in some instances, in others not.
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That’s why final decisions take months and SA encourages people to get as many noms as they can. It’s that flexibility that allows them to fit the pieces in.

And also a reason why caution should be used with anecdotal waiver history.
 
Some years at civilian schools, more people turn down offers than expected, and even after offering a couple of open spots to the waitlist, the class still isn’t at full capacity

In that case, some doubles turn into singles. 1 person gets a big double room with the 2 TwinXL beds they can push together into a King.
 
Since our DD accepted her USNA slot she was contacted by our MOC and asked to decline her USAFA slot so it could possibly go to another candidate in the district. I guess I’ll never understand the shell game
 
tkinion said:
Since our DD accepted her USNA slot she was contacted by our MOC and asked to decline her USAFA slot so it could possibly go to another candidate in the district. I guess I’ll never understand the shell game
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I would think she would decline it anyway without being asked as a courtesy?
 
Aksel2028 said:
Reading thru the previous year's threads it has been reported, albeit very few, who get the call one week to days prior to I-Day. Majority should know by April 15th with the NAPS people getting their appointments the first week of May. Then a trickle to I-Day.
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Last year was also bad because DoDMERB went down or something like that, at CVW i asked like 5 people and they were all informed day of or a few days after.
 
half62674 said:
Someone had asked whether decisions tend to be sent out on Friday, so I created a few charts from the Class of 2027 appointment thread. It might give you an idea of when things happen. Disclaimer: past performance does not indicate future results. This is based on a small sample size of SAF posters that may be biased in unknown ways (or even known ways!).

View attachment 15448View attachment 15451
(See also: What's the Current Week Number?)
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Are there any statistics like this for USMA?
 
I have been viewing my USNA application and I feel like I won't get a LOA, forget about an appointment since I don't even have a nomination. To maximize my chances in getting into USNA, should I admit to VMI and then re-apply next year or should I do nrotc at VT and re-apply. Got into VMI, just waiting on Virginia Tech. Much appreciated.
 
Do you have an NROTC scholarship?

There is a whole thread on re-applicants at the top of the forum. It is a good read to understand what options are available to those that choose to re-apply.
 
mols.cast8 said:
I just checked my portal, and my Dodmerb status is showing as "waived by USNA". I havent gotten a formal email or anything. Does that mean I've actually got a waiver now? I know my status on tricare hasn't changed yet.
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if usna portal shows it, yeah! Contact your BGO and/or admissions to double check!
 
mols.cast8 said:
I just checked my portal, and my Dodmerb status is showing as "waived by USNA". I havent gotten a formal email or anything. Does that mean I've actually got a waiver now? I know my status on tricare hasn't changed yet.
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Congrats!
 
Harryusmc said:
I have been viewing my USNA application and I feel like I won't get a LOA, forget about an appointment since I don't even have a nomination. To maximize my chances in getting into USNA, should I admit to VMI and then re-apply next year or should I do nrotc at VT and re-apply. Got into VMI, just waiting on Virginia Tech. Much appreciated.
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Why do you want a LOA, if you don't have any nominations and don't expect to get a appointment? The LOA is not the goal. The goal is a appointment.

Were you planning on not joining the NROTC at VMI?
 
How long does it usually take for USNA to make a waiver decision? I'm assuming its dependent on a case by case basis. All my AMI has been submitted, conducted a test to rule out asthma and a pulmonologist's consultation. Both went well, I can breathe properly haha. My pulmonologist does consults for a lot of cadets/midshipsmen and said that this should be pretty fast. Does anyone have experiences with this? thanks
 
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