Chances with 3 nominations

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Roo555

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My DS has recieved nominations from both our Senators and our Representative. Other than the fact that he will be looked at 3 times does this help him at all?
 
maybe, maybe not..... 3 years ago my DS had 5 nominations and did not get in....
 
1 MOC and 2 Senators = 3 slates. Yes it helps, but he still has to be fully qualified and beat the other 9 nominees on at least one slate to receive an appointment.
 
Roo555 said:
My DS has recieved nominations from both our Senators and our Representative. Other than the fact that he will be looked at 3 times does this help him at all?
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Not a whole lot. I believe they decide who they want and then look for nom. It's like a box checked. Even if they don't have one they can find one it seems. Many stories of multiple noms not getting in.
 
WMSMOM said:
Not a whole lot. I believe they decide who they want and then look for nom. It's like a box checked. Even if they don't have one they can find one it seems. Many stories of multiple noms not getting in.
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I would bet the candidates with multiple noms have a higher rate of success than not.

I think you are slightly wrong. I think they look for the best candidate on every slate that is 3Q.
 
Let's do the math. Assuming all candidates have been scored (WCS) --- First, compete at own representative slate. The highest score is picked from each of representative slate. If not picked -- then move on to senator A's slate, competing with all the top 2 from each representative slate. If not picked, then move to senator B's slate, competing with remaining top 2 and one top 3 from each representative slate.

I should add --- not all top 2 from representative slates will be in senator's slate -- because only 10 will be nominated. Small state will have a better chance. Also some congressional districts are more competitive, so not all top 2 will be in senator's slate.
 
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gniyji said:
Let's do the math. Assuming all candidates have been scored (WCS) --- First, compete at own representative slate. The highest score is picked from each of representative slate. If not picked -- then move on to senator A's slate, competing with all the top 2 from each representative slate. If not picked, then move to senator B's slate, competing with remaining top 2 and one top 3 from each representative slate.

I should add --- not all top 2 from representative slates will be in senator's slate -- because only 10 will be nominated. Small state will have a better chance
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Some Senators/MOC don’t give nominations to people who they know already have noms.

Not sure how we can assume the number twos from MOC slate are the ones competing for Senator slates. They all have their own criteria.
 
A1Janitor said:
Some Senators/MOC don’t give nominations to people who they know already have noms.

Not sure how we can assume the number twos from MOC slate are the ones competing for Senator slates. They all have their own criteria.
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In the ideal world -- that is what mathematicians develop theorems. Beside, we are talking about chances not conclusive results.
 
Bottom line is that your purely mathematical chances do increase. . .But it still depends on where you rank on each slate, which while they may be similar, are still independent. I started to do an analysis to support this, but my list of assumptions kept growing such that I was hesitant to even share it
 
Each nom is a slate a candidate is competing on.

If you have 3 noms, you are competing in 3 different nom ‘buckets’. So in that sense, you have more chances for the SA to select you (assuming fully qualified).

But, 3 noms doesn’t mean you are a higher target for the SA. You could be a candidate the SA doesn’t choose to offer an appointment to. Not the most competitive, or the puzzle piece they want. No matter how many noms you hold.

Additionally, it depends on how your MOC submits their slate. If it via a principal method, that affects who the SA selects from that slate.

People try and apply statistics and probabilities, but like @ProudPapa2026 said, there are way to many variables to be able to analyze outcomes.

More noms means flexibility for the SA to select you. It doesn’t mean a greater chance of you actually receiving an individual appointment.
 
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