Is it over?

As of 2100hrs PDT, 6 Apr...still CPR in SoCali, baby! We live to fight another day!

I gotta think that there are still a few last Congressional slate Apps waiting to get handed out in the left coast!
 
Now I hate to scheme too much here, but I saw on another thread that "they said they have offered 1300 appointments and expect 1155 to accept. Also, they said that between 70 and 120 people have been put on the waitlist." This means that all appointments are decided on.

So in other words everyone's application has been processed (either rejected, waitlist, appointee.) And as I learned from an admissions counslor, all appointees nominating source is notified a week in advance so that they can personally congratulate the appointee. There were a few appointments reported today, but all of these were learned of based on a call/notification from their nominating source.

So if so many people got rejected and waitlisted today, is it possible that those who are still CPR are appointees who will be recieving appointments next week, whose nominating sources just don't let/haven't let their apppointees know?

Does this make sense? Please let me know my flaws in this logic.
 
cudi2000 said:
Now I hate to scheme too much here, but I saw on another thread that "they said they have offered 1300 appointments and expect 1155 to accept. Also, they said that between 70 and 120 people have been put on the waitlist." This means that all appointments are decided on.

So in other words everyone's application has been processed (either rejected, waitlist, appointee.) And as I learned from an admissions counslor, all appointees nominating source is notified a week in advance so that they can personally congratulate the appointee. There were a few appointments reported today, but all of these were learned of based on a call/notification from their nominating source.

So if so many people got rejected and waitlisted today, is it possible that those who are still CPR are appointees who will be recieving appointments next week, whose nominating sources just don't let/haven't let their apppointees know?

Does this make sense? Please let me know my flaws in this logic.
Click to expand...

I don’t know, but I would love to believe that’s the case!
 
cudi2000 said:
Does this make sense? Please let me know my flaws in this logic.
Click to expand...
No.
The total number includes projected offer of appointments and there are those still being finalized before they are sent. E.g. Principal nom getting cleared by medical.
 
Zeus said:
No.
The total number includes projected offer of appointments and there are those still being finalized before they are sent. E.g. Principal nom getting cleared by medical.
Click to expand...

So does that mean if you are CPR and have not received a TWE, then you are projected to receive an appointment, prep school, etc?
 
If you are still CPR it means just that. It means that anything could happen over the next week or two. I know the wait is hard, hang in there. Need could arrive any day. Good luck.
 
cudi2000 said:
...Now I hate to scheme too much here, but I saw on another thread that "they said they have offered 1300 appointments and expect 1155 to accept. Also, they said that between 70 and 120 people have been put on the waitlist."...
Click to expand...

Those numbers are pure conjecture. The actual number of Offers of Appointment varies from year to year. I think (again conjecture) that with data that they have on each graduating class (how many start, minus the number who end up leaving in the first two years, minus how many are separated for whatever reason, equaling how many actually graduate and commission) the number of Offers fluctuates in order to produce an even flow of commissioned officers every year. It is true however, that they tender more Offers than they need to fill out the class, because a certain percentage will decline their Offers.

That too is figured in - so in four years - the number of available junior officers in their algorithm has only a +/- 1% fluctuation. I think it's pretty efficient, really.
 
We are still waiting in Az 07. DS has his heart set on the USNA. LOAs from USMA and USAFA. Waiting on medical clearance for braces. Ugh!
 
THParent said:
cudi2000 said:
...Now I hate to scheme too much here, but I saw on another thread that "they said they have offered 1300 appointments and expect 1155 to accept. Also, they said that between 70 and 120 people have been put on the waitlist."...
Click to expand...

Those numbers are pure conjecture. The actual number of Offers of Appointment varies from year to year. I think (again conjecture) that with data that they have on each graduating class (how many start, minus the number who end up leaving in the first two years, minus how many are separated for whatever reason, equaling how many actually graduate and commission) the number of Offers fluctuates in order to produce an even flow of commissioned officers every year. It is true however, that they tender more Offers than they need to fill out the class, because a certain percentage will decline their Offers.

That too is figured in - so in four years - the number of available junior officers in their algorithm has only a +/- 1% fluctuation. I think it's pretty efficient, really.
Click to expand...

If the numbers are "conjecture" they are the "conjecture" of the USNA Admissions office. Those numbers were quoted directly from a letter received by a 2022 waitlisted applicant.
 
Soldiergriz said:
THParent said:
cudi2000 said:
...Now I hate to scheme too much here, but I saw on another thread that "they said they have offered 1300 appointments and expect 1155 to accept. Also, they said that between 70 and 120 people have been put on the waitlist."...
Click to expand...

Those numbers are pure conjecture. The actual number of Offers of Appointment varies from year to year. I think (again conjecture) that with data that they have on each graduating class (how many start, minus the number who end up leaving in the first two years, minus how many are separated for whatever reason, equaling how many actually graduate and commission) the number of Offers fluctuates in order to produce an even flow of commissioned officers every year. It is true however, that they tender more Offers than they need to fill out the class, because a certain percentage will decline their Offers.

That too is figured in - so in four years - the number of available junior officers in their algorithm has only a +/- 1% fluctuation. I think it's pretty efficient, really.
Click to expand...

If the numbers are "conjecture" they are the "conjecture" of the USNA Admissions office. Those numbers were quoted directly from a letter received by a 2022 waitlisted applicant.
Click to expand...

There are different ways that you could interpret that they “have offered 1300 appointments,” I suppose.

It could be that they have pegged the 1300, but still have to notify the last lot of them to receive notice this upcoming week.

Otherwise, if not waitlisted, what’s the purpose of keeping candidates CPR at this point? Seems like it would be easy enough to just cut them loose with a TWE email that went out on Friday 4/6. There must be some reason to still be CPR.

The list still looks a bit thin, statistically, on west coast appointments out of 55 potential MOC slots.
 
Okay. Sorry folks! @cudi2000 never mentioned that we were talking about a specific class year, here.
I thought this discussion was "in general" - in which case - from year to year the number of offers fluctuates in order to meet the needs of The Navy.
 
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