But they have historical data I'm sure that gives them a pretty good idea of how many awardees will choose high-priced schools and how many will choose state schools. Then use that data to generate a blended rate and plan using that. And not only that, but doesn't the national board itself somewhat control where the scholarships go by determining which schools the scholarships are awarded to?
My point is that they should have a pretty good idea going in to the first board of an FY how many 4-year and how many 3-year scholarships they want to award for the year. And if they don't, they should. That's planning and budgeting 101. But my distinct impression is that none of the services actually do. And I don't understand why not. At a bare minimum, why not advertise, "We plan on awarding at least x 4-year scholarships, and y 3-year scholarships this FY." Then, after every board, publish the numbers. "A" files were reviewed, and x and y scholarships were awarded along with GPA/SAT/ACT and other assorted data (varsity letters, NHS, Boys/Girls State, Eagle Scouts, etc.) -- just like they do for the SAs -- as to who got which awards. But they don't do it, and I can't figure out why not.
Last thought. Why NOT make ROTC scholarships a known, set cost also? Isn't OCS supposed to be the variable safety valve?