I believe, but won't swear to it that once you remove your name you can not go back and apply again that year for the national HSSP board.
~ Basically you can look at an ICSP for HS students like an EA for college. Binding.
~~ Even if he resubmitted 1st of Jan. The way selection boards work is the officers reviewing the board will be on TDY (think business trip). They will meet for 3-4 days, 8-4. If the Dec. board has 1500 candidates, and they only get through 1200, than the 300 not reviewed will be the 1st on the next board. Now if by the time he submits, his number is 1896 for the next board. Than, he may be looking at the Mar board, not the Feb. board, and his chances could drop for a type 1. Think of the scholarship boards like a Bell Curve. 1st board is usually not the big drop. The 2nd is. The 3rd lowers again.
~~ It is not uncommon to see candidates be told after the 1st board, that no decision has been made, but that they were boarded. This is not necessarily a bad sign. It could mean they are on the cusp between a type 1 and 2, 2 and 7 , 7 and nothing. They just want to see a larger pool of candidates before HQ AFROTC commits to the scholarship.
As far as chances go I would not even guess regarding how many type 1s are left for the 2nd board. However, if you look at it from a national numbers chance than you need to be realistic.
~ Overall selection rate is @18% of all applicants.
~ 900 nationally are usually given.
~ 5% or around 45 for a Type 1.
~~ Of those 45, 5% are awarded to non-tech majors, or @ 2 or 3 out of the 5000 that submitted applications.
~ 15%% will get the type 2.
~~ @135 nationally. Again, 95% will go to tech majors.
~ The remaining 80% selected will get a type 7. This is where many of the non-tech majors land, but still only @ 25%.
~ So overall for non-techs their chances are only around 15-20% of all scholarships awarded.
Now, also remember that 95% of SA candidates will apply as their plan B. Yet you can't say that 95% of ROTC scholarship candidates apply to an SA as a plan B.
~ Unlike the SA appointment process, ROTC scholarships start and end on a national level. HQ AFROTC does not care if all 900 come only from CA, TX and VA. If they are the top WCS (whole candidate score), than so be it.
~ My point is if you want to see a larger sample of your DSs competition for a type 1, you should also look at the USAFA chance me threads.
~~ Again, there are candidates that get an appointment, but no scholarship, and candidates that get a scholarship, but no appointment. A lot has to do with how appointments work.
Finally, here is a question you really need to discuss with your family. Can he afford to attend either of these schools without the scholarship?
1. Many kids once in the program decide that the military is not a fit for them.
~ Trust me, I have been here long enough that if I could have a dime for everytime I read they said I have wanted this my entire life and nothing will stop me (HS student) and how many of them during their freshmen year said I want out, I would be able to buy my family's christmas presents with the amount I collected here.
~ AFROTC is what I call a 2+2 scholarship.
~~ It is guaranteed for the 1st 2 years, but as a sophomore they will compete for Summer Field Training (SFT). The selection board does not know (masked) if the cadet is on scholarship or not. If not selected for SFT, than the chances are high that they will be dis-enrolled from the program.
Both scenarios mean that by their junior year you will be paying for their last years to attend that school. Most colleges will increase tuition/R&B by 7-10% annually. So, if his dream college is 45K this year, next year before he steps on campus, he could be looking at 48. 51K his sophomore, and 60 by the time he graduates. Can you handle that?
I get this is a hard decision, and only you can make it. Have you thought about...at the very least getting a type 7 and converting it to a 3 year type 2?
I also would add that I do not need to know his stats, but although an ICSP is uncommon, it may not mean he is a type 1 candidate, just a high caliber candidate for that unit. It does not mean that he is high enough to be a national select for a type 1.
~ Only you can decide if that is true. One thing to say he got an ICSP to MIT, applying to only Ivies, and another to say he got it to go his safety, such as, Timbucktoo U and wants MIT.
I am not trying to be Janie Raincloud. I am trying to hand you the most information that I know of to make an informed decision.
Good luck