Appointed Stats?

[FMHS-79]

This is based on only a few data points but:
https://www.thoughtco.com/annapolis-gpa-sat-and-act-data-786687

I don’t know to what extent the score/grades data and comments are accurate, but the inaccuracies in describing the nomination process and other aspects of USNA would make me take this source with a grain of salt.

Near the top of the article, nominations FROM active duty or veterans...no, not quite, a simple reading of the primary source would show how the category of service-connected nominations works.

And at the end of the article, “all must be nominated by a member of Congress.” Noooooo.....

Third party interpretations of info available from primary sources can be woefully inaccurate.

I’ll be interested to know if the other data is accurate. He does get right the more holistic evaluation of all aspects of a candidate’s background and achievements.

+1 @Capt MJ - it appears that the graph is based on self-reported data from Cappax. Although it is hard to validate without viewing the underlying data, but there appears to be almost as many denials are there are acceptances in the upper right (>3.5 GPA, >1400 SAT) grid box. I think this helps confirm what we already know -- one can not accurately predict chance of appointment based on just these two data points (GPA and SAT scores).

 

[Capt MJ]

I do appreciate @bopper effort in researching what’s out there in terms of people trying to crack the “Stats Code.”

 

[bopper]

I think the thoughtco article should be read from the point of view of a Joe/Jane average person so they know there is more to it than just applying (need a nomination)

 

[usna1985]

As others have said, stats alone aren't all that helpful. Most of the Ivy League schools could fill an entire entering class with kids who stood #1 in their class and had perfect or near-perfect SATs. However, while they take their fair share of those folks, many others get in because, in the view of the school, they bring something else that is important. Could be sports, a special skill, a particular background, a hardship overcome . . . and on and on.

The same is true of USNA, but candidates also must deal with legally mandated geographic diversity and the vagaries of the nom process. Thus, there's nothing wrong with looking at what happened to others with various stats. However, you aren't competing against them -- you're competing with other folks who are applying this year. Thus, stats of others are certainly interesting but provide no basis for determining whether you personally can expect an appointment.

 

[Old Navy BGO]

I don’t know to what extent the score/grades data and comments are accurate, but the inaccuracies in describing the nomination process and other aspects of USNA would make me take this source with a grain of salt.

I recommend taking anything that is not off USNA.EDU with a grain of salt. There are many , mostly well meaning , sources that purport to know how USNA Admissions works ...but I'm not sure anyone except true insiders (and that does not include BGO's) can truly say what gets one candidate in over another. There are too many variables involved. Sure, many of us can identify factors that make Admission "more likely than not", but until you see all of the candidates on a particular slate at the same time, it is impossible to say if an individual applicant will get in.