Reply to hugaber15
hugaber15, you make good and understandable points.
Re: excessive complaints/opinions: this board has more than its share. Afraid you'll have to learn to pick your way around the zealots, or hide their messages, like the rest of us.
Re: getting answers: you'll find some caring and well-informed sources here if you want to know about the process. As for evaluating chances of admission, no one can tell you about USNA, or any other school. It depends on who/how many apply, and what the institution is looking for that year. You can learn historic numbers, but even then you can't know anecdotal factors (who survived Katrina, won a nat'l trumpet or physics contest, has a POW father, or wrote the best essay in history).
This board can be a comfort when you're applying, since your h.s. peers probably can't understand what you're doing. It can also make you crazy, intimidated, and yes, frustrated. And, honestly, if you're frustrated, you're getting good training for surviving the whole appt ordeal. This path is not for the faint of heart.
I know a bit about college admissions, and was so certain my son wouldn't be admitted (white male, competitive state), that I rehearsed a rejection pep talk. Right now he's a 1/C in the top 10-15% of his class, heading to grad school w/ a nice Navy stipend before his active service begins. So much for expert opinions.
So yeah, "work hard and hope for the best." And try to find value in the School of Frustration. It will serve you well, no matter what your future holds.