If you don't want to serve active duty in the Air Force then why would you even consider it.
I am an internet stranger but I've read 5 John Le Carre novels and seen the entire Bourne series. I can say with authority, that getting a guaranteed spot in the "community" before even going to college will be difficult. You should have a few backup plans like any good spook. However, if you fluently speak two Dravidian dialects, passable Mandarin, and can fully conjugate at least 10 irregular Portuguese verbs, disassemble and reassemble an AK-47 in under 20 seconds, shoot the whisker off marmot at 400 meters, drive through Rome at an average of 120 kph during rush hour, convince a total stranger to give you the keys to his house and grow a totally righteous beard, then you're in like Flint.
If you believe the person who used the term likelihood, you're more likely to be the one who gives up his keys than the one who talks you out of them.
Visit the units and be comfortable with the college. AFROTC will give you many fewer options than AROTC after commissioning.