There is simply no way to know, excruciating as that is.
You are likely in the same position as others with strong records, passed CFA, nominations, medically qualified or have a waiver…and waiting.
You can assume USNA considers you competitive, or they wouldn’t have spent the time on the waiver. There are always more fully qualified applicants than there are seats. Do your best to blank your mind - strenuous PT always helps - and prepare to be overjoyed by good news or spurred to steely resolve to execute your alternate plan if bad news.
Be sure you have a professional voicemail on your phone and plan to answer unknown numbers in case an elected official is calling you. They are given a period of time after decisions are made, if they choose to notify candidates.
It’s a puzzle with 1000+ pieces, being carefully assembled. At least you know you are in the box of pieces that could fit in the puzzle.