mdn18
5-Year Member
- Joined
- Dec 8, 2013
- Messages
- 262
mdn18 - I think you are right. USNA doesn't put out the number of 'qualified' (3Q) applicants but USMA does and it shouldn't be too much different b/n the academies. For USMA class of 2018 - 4,050 Nominated; 2,219 Qualified, 1,212 Admitted. Applying these numbers to USNA - there are around 6,400 nominations given out from all sources each year which implies around ~1.6 nominations per person (~6,400 total nominations for ~4,000 nominees) - I think that makes sense also if you look at the appointments thread for 2019 or for 2018 you'll see many people with 2 appointments and some with more than 2.
So, ~2,000 qualified and ~1,000 accepted is probably in the ball park. However, accepted number is 85 - 90% of those who were actually offered admission so expect 1,100 - 1,200 offers for a targeted class size of 1,000. That would mean slightly less than a 30% chance of getting an offer of admission for all of those nominated (~1,150 / ~4,000).
Having said all of that...don't stress the probabilities. Try to enjoy senior year - it goes by very quickly for the kids and for the parents! It feels like just a blink of the eye since we were trying to remain calm one year ago! Good luck!
Thanks, but I'm a college freshman now!
Also, by the way, just discovered that I was nominated to USNA and USMMA by my MOC!!!!