Is it safe to assume that everyone who is CPR right now will head to either the waitlist or TWE? Or is that not a given? Could there still be appointments directly from CPR this week?
Being that it’s not yet April 15th, USNA’s stated ‘notify by’ date, I would say yes. Because why not? And? If you haven’t yet received a turn down, you are still in the game. Until they tell you that you aren’t.
This happens every year, every cycle. There are so many moving pieces and parts, it’s impossible to have the whole thing completely 100 pct settled overnight. For example, there are still people out there who have offers of appointments who have not accepted. Or said declined.
And while one person saying no, doesn’t necessarily equate to another receiving an offer, it does in the big picture have an affect on how many more appointments are yet to be offered. USNA has their numbers, including estimated turn downs, that they target. It’s sort of like planning a wedding reception. Waiting for final RSVP’s to give final numbers to the caterers.
One example: what if you are the #2 person, on a senators ranked slate? That *COULD* be a situation where USNA is waiting to hear from the #1 ranked candidates decision (who my also have multiple SA and ROTC offers they are considering). Maybe you are behind a person who is trying to clear a medical issue. These are a couple examples that come to mind, as to why candidates could be where they are today. Only admissions knows.
Again, one person saying no doesn’t necessarily equate to another offer at the local level. In some circumstances, it could. We (you) simply have no way of knowing that.
What you do know, is there are lots and lots of different scenarios. And each, at this point in the game, is settling down into the final lap of that big race, with the finish line still in the distance (April 15th). You are still in this race. Hang on, be patient, continue to work your alternate plans.