Enjoy paranoia math for days.
Ok, so I did the math comparing last years appointment numbers with the trend using the average growth rate of the offers of appointment compared to names on the forums. I found that compared to last years total number of offers: 1559 (
http://www.serviceacademyforums.com...rofiles-usna-offers-vs-usna-acceptance.48348/ ) , the forum represented 128 (
http://www.serviceacademyforums.com/index.php?threads/class-of-2019-appointment-thread.39955/page-30 ) of them, or about .08210391%. So I then took the average of the last 4 years increases (which were 261,23,61 ) which gave me about 115 additional appointments per year, meaning that this year there should be a total number of appoints of around 1674 (1559+115). By then comparing the percentage of what the forum represents to the total number appointments, I found that this year's thread should be around 137.44 names (1674 * .08210391). We are currently at 117, meaning that there around around 20 names not on the forums or, by finding the number of offers per name to be around 12.17 by dividing the total offers by names on the forums (1559/128). Which means that 243.59 offers of appointments have yet to go out by finding what each name would represent per 12.17 offers of appointments ( 12.17* 20).
In English: Stay positive, no use in being negative.