AROTC handles personnel and accessions somewhat differently than AFROTC. They do not engage in a sifting process at the end of sophomore year like AFROTC does. IMO experience (many decades now), attrition in AROTC is solely due to things like misconduct, change of mind about wanting to commission in the Army, grades, things of that nature. What can and has happened with the Army, though, is that active duty slots can get squeezed, so seniors can (and have) end up sweating whether they get active duty or, instead, get forced into a reserve component. And that is totally based on the national OML and number of active duty slots. At the moment, I'm not aware of any such squeeze, but as with all services, needs of the Army dictate.Is the army generally safe with what's going on? As in, are they at risk of letting go 50% of cadets like what AF ROTC did?
I apologize, but I'm not very well-versed as to what's going on.
Finally, there has been some chatter that the number of national scholarship awards this year out of high school was down. If true -- and it seems likely that it was -- that doesn't necessarily mean anything. It could simply be a reflection of the high number of applicants who didn't have SAT/ACT scores. Or it could be that they just didn't have the budget to give higher numbers. Nevertheless, often when something like this happens, those unused scholarships get returned to individual units to dispense on campus as they see fit. But I'm not sure that anybody knows at this point if that will happen this year or not.
Bottom line, I'm not aware of a significant blood-letting in AROTC like what seems to have happened this year with AFROTC; and I've never heard of mass forced disenrollment from the program.