AFROTC 2015 Enrollment Allocations

[Sled]

My detachment have a 100% selection rate. And the Arney (AAS) told us that they met a general at the NATCON , news are next year(2016) the selection rate for EA will be better than this year's. They told us that as long as we don't mess up really bad, we should get the EA. Don't raise your hope though, it can change !

I'm sorry but the person who said that was Gen Selva. What he said was that he hoped the selection rates for both EAs and scholarships were higher. He is the Commander of Global Strike Command so I wouldn't trust it nearly as much as if it came from AETC.

 

[Pima]

I agree if it came down from AETC that would be one thing, but flip side it could mean that there might be more Missileer scholarships coming down the pike.

It really is going to be more from MPC in the know, because they do 5 year projections.

Remember, only about 20% of all cadets start off as scholarship recipients and the rest are walk ons. My DS for the 4 years in AFROTC had @110 cadets start off as 100. Same for 200/250s. The year after he graduated his unit had over 180 just in the 100s class start in the fall. Thus, nobody can predict what the statistical rate for EAs will be since nobody knows what the pool size will be for that year, but AETC does know how many they need to commission for that year group at the current rate.
~ It could be true for class of 16 because they know right now that they are on par for a 95%+ rate currently, but they don't know yet how many 250s are going to join next fall.

You could also see scholarships (ICSP) change based on USAFA. For many years now USAFA has stayed at that 1350 appointment size with a goal of 1150 reporting on I Day. However, back 6-7 years ago it was much larger regarding appointment size for multiple years. It was common for 1600+ with a goal of 1300 reporting. In that case those cadets that had both AFROTC scholarship and appointment would be required to throw one back come I Day, typically it is the scholarship. That meant those AFROTC scholarships went back into the pot of gold, usually ICSP. There were years that ICSP boards were cancelled.

I would also say that sequestration will exist for several more years and it could impact the pot of gold in AFROTC. I hope more scholarships do come down the pike, but I also would believe that even if they do, be prepared for the stats to increase. Every year group has slowly seen the ACT/SAT stats to tick up. Currently a type 1 is hovering at 31 best sitting. Almost 30 for type 2, and @29 for type 7. I don't recall the SAT breakdown, but it hovers between 1280-1360 best sitting for type 1-7. That is average.

Good luck to all.

 

[Sled]

I agree if it came down from AETC that would be one thing, but flip side it could mean that there might be more Missileer scholarships coming down the pike.

It really is going to be more from MPC in the know, because they do 5 year projections.

Remember, only about 20% of all cadets start off as scholarship recipients and the rest are walk ons. My DS for the 4 years in AFROTC had @110 cadets start off as 100. Same for 200/250s. The year after he graduated his unit had over 180 just in the 100s class start in the fall. Thus, nobody can predict what the statistical rate for EAs will be since nobody knows what the pool size will be for that year, but AETC does know how many they need to commission for that year group at the current rate.
~ It could be true for class of 16 because they know right now that they are on par for a 95%+ rate currently, but they don't know yet how many 250s are going to join next fall.

You could also see scholarships (ICSP) change based on USAFA. For many years now USAFA has stayed at that 1350 appointment size with a goal of 1150 reporting on I Day. However, back 6-7 years ago it was much larger regarding appointment size for multiple years. It was common for 1600+ with a goal of 1300 reporting. In that case those cadets that had both AFROTC scholarship and appointment would be required to throw one back come I Day, typically it is the scholarship. That meant those AFROTC scholarships went back into the pot of gold, usually ICSP. There were years that ICSP boards were cancelled.

I would also say that sequestration will exist for several more years and it could impact the pot of gold in AFROTC. I hope more scholarships do come down the pike, but I also would believe that even if they do, be prepared for the stats to increase. Every year group has slowly seen the ACT/SAT stats to tick up. Currently a type 1 is hovering at 31 best sitting. Almost 30 for type 2, and @29 for type 7. I don't recall the SAT breakdown, but it hovers between 1280-1360 best sitting for type 1-7. That is average.

Good luck to all.

I agree, the sequestration will stick around and we have to see what the other parts of the machine will do. He did speak about the missileer scholarships and that he wanted more but it may not be his decision at all. In addition, the pool size has went WAY down at our detachment but I do not know if that is a nationwide trend.

 

[Pima]

That's the thing you don't know what next years class size could be, there could be an uptick on the 250s. Additionally in years past, typically 200/250s not selected were given their walking papers for AFROTC. Very few 500s existed. Now if the 500s increased instead of disenrolling that number it can play an impact on the selection number. Assume they want 1900, and IF the 200/250s class size is 2200, PLUS they have 200 500s. That means the pool size will be 2400. Approximately 75% will be picked up, which will be a lower rate than this past year, but higher than last year., yet not near the 93% rate for yhe class of 14.

I honestly wouldn't worry about it at all. If you are in the median scores for cgpa, AFOQT, PFA and a strong det. ranking than you should be sitting fine. However, if you are just meeting the 2.5, and your PFA is 90, plus bottom third of the unit, than buckle down next semester. Not only for the competition of SFT/EA, but your OML regarding your AFSC because everything starts piling on. The ranking out of SFT will be part of that OML. You can only take the AFOQT 2x, rated will have the AFOQT replaced with the TBAS. It is hard to pull up a cgpa significantly with 4 semesters down, and only 1 or 3 left to go (1 for rated, 3 for non-rated).

 

[I-am-Will]

Completely random and I'm not sure if it's been posted in this thread, but does anyone have the dates for graduations for each MAX? Trying to go to MAX4 graduation this summer to see our DETs brand new POC as well as go touch the Prop & Wings.

 

[Sled]

I'm going to MAX 4 and the dates are July 1-28.

 

[Non Ducor Duco]

Completely random and I'm not sure if it's been posted in this thread, but does anyone have the dates for graduations for each MAX? Trying to go to MAX4 graduation this summer to see our DETs brand new POC as well as go touch the Prop & Wings.

Yeah that was one thing I was disappointed about last summer. Because we graduated at Camp Shelby we weren't allowed to touch the prop and wings, just got to see it and stand near it.