I am someone who will always state that you do not join a branch for a specific job, but to wear that uniform.
In other words I bite my tongue when someone says I am going the AF route because I want to fly the 22.
Go the AF route because you want to wear the Blues! You know what they call a Lt that is Intel? LT! You know what they call a pilot that is a lt? LT!
By chance do you know the number of fast plane drivers in the Air Force vs. the Navy?
1. The military does not call them fast plane drivers, they call them fighters. This was not meant in antaganostic way, just to inform you of the military slang.
2. I do not know the number
~~ That being stated the thing to look at is not the actual number, but the % of "rated" (fliers) officers compared to non-rated.
The AF could have 1K fighter pilots and the Navy could have 2K, yet at the same time the AF could have 45% rated officers that are in the fighter world while the Navy has 35%. Or Vise a Verse.
Numbers don't really matter, percentages do.
That is how you keep apples with apples. The minute you start using numbers compared to % is the minute you are comparing apples with oranges.
3. To get into the "fast" plane world you need to be the best of the best at UPT.
Statistically from a long term approach you are looking at being the top 10%.
However, again we go back to the needs of each branch at the time you attend UPT.
The AF may not "drop" a fighter because they don't need new blood. the Navy could "drop" 10 because they need new blood.
You cannot predict the needs of UPT regarding an airframe 4 yrs out be it the Navy or the AF.
To be honest if you are willing to fly anything, than the Navy is the route because they give you the option of fixed wing and helos.
If all you want is fixed wing than the AF is something to investigate. If all you want is helos than the Army should be on your list.
Also let me make this 1000% perfectly clear to get that UPT slot, AFA or AFROTC your college gpa is going to matter. For the AFA if you want it you have a 99% chance if you graduate, but the deal is 25% of the incoming class will not graduate. Entering the AFA and graduating are 2 different things.
AFROTC you need to fight for it from a national level. GPA, AFOQT, TCBM, PFA, Commanders rec will all add into the equation. 2.8 and call it a day.
Once at UPT the instructors do not care your commissioning source, it is all about you and the stick.
For AFROTC cadets fearing that they aren't on the same level...read and paste this to your wall.
Bullet was an AFROTC cadet who went to UNT.
He graduated Number 1 at LIFT (Lead In Fighter Training)
Due to not enough pilots compared to WSOs he had 2 pilots to train with for RTU.
He was the 1st RTU student in 30 yrs to get 2 EQs (sim and check ride)
First in 11 yrs to get an EQ in one.
He was the DQ student for RTU.
DQ is not number 1 in the class, but the top 1% for the yr.
He had 2 pilots, 1 was a FAIP (AFA grad) and another was just a UPT grad (AFA grad too).
The UPT grad was FEB'd and lost his wings
Your commissioning source is not a guarantee when it comes to the stick.
I say this because I don't want any candidate to believe that if they go ROTC as plan B that their dreams are over.
Dreams only end when you stop believing.