It has happened in the past, that they are given their walking papers. There is a lot placed into the equation, and one part is the AF budget.
Right now, for AFROTC 14 they are cutting loose non-rated cadets even before they are to commission come May.
Not only that, but if you read in the article, the non-rated 13 grads not AD yet are also being given the option to leave with no harm, no foul financial impact. I.E if they were Type1 at Duke, MIT, Notre Dame, GTown, where the bill would be @100K+ in tuition, books, and stipend, they owe nada!
IOWs, nobody knows what it will be like for 15, but yes, they can cut you loose if they need to reduce manpower, and are currently over manned in non-rates AFSC.
~~~ I am saying 15, because for UPT if they bust even 3 months in, they would be FY15, not 14.
I am not disagreeing with you, our DS's classmates, 14-08 were also offered Intel. However, classes at UPT, even if it is not happening at Vance are backing up, and ROTC non-rated are being offered the chance to walk.
It is yr to yr regarding this issue. Look at the infamous 92 RIF. They didn't hit every yr group, it was targeted to a specific yr group. During the RIF, the UPT pipeline basically ended for anyone that wanted fighters.
I am not trying to be Janie Raincloud, just trying to say, it does happen. The old cliche is true regarding the AF. Timing matters. 1992 was bad times, but 3 yrs later the AF was short of pilots; they were willing to waive age. O4's, had the highest promotion rate in yrs. For them timing was great!
As much as you are saying 15-02 is okay, the problem is the AF is looking to reduce Intel, Maintenance, Cyber, etc. for FY14. Not your yr. group of FY13. Nobody knows for sure how it will impact come 16-02 for UPT wash backs, aka 14 grads.
OBTW, Bullet's crew mate at FTU was an AFA grad. He was FEB and handed his walking papers. This was not a student at IFS, UPT, IFF, it was FTU. Part of it was timing. The AF was already reducing numbers by that point, and had no need to offer him a non-rated job, because his yr group was the targeted yr group.
Just like if you look at how the AFA cut appointments back in 11 from 1650 to 1350.
Thanks for the anecdotal data!
Now what AFSC did your son get?