Nominations that lead to appointment

[burnerafter16]

When one gets a MOC nomination, DoDmerb qualified, and file completed-what are the factors that would preclude an appointment?
I understand that there's only a limited number of slots available and for a competitive state, a very tight competition for available slots vacated by graduating cadets.
Just wanted to know the probability of fully qualified candidates with nominations who aren't recruited athletes and all that's left is to be granted an appointment versus those that get turned away or sent to prep.
Thanks

 

[jwizzle11]

Nationally speaking its about 50/50. Look at the class of 2016 profile for any of the academies. Usually only about 2500 candidates nation wide are fully qualified with a nom.

 

[usna1985]

One person from every MOC slate (assuming he/she is 3 Q'ed) is guaranteed an appointment. The remaining 9 (if 3 Q'ed) go into the national pool. Your odds of receiving an appointment depend on how competitive you are nationally.

What "precludes" an appointment? If you aren't the most competitive on your slate, it's being less competitive than others in the national pool.

 

[suddensam]

Not sure to which SA(s) you are applying, but the USNA Catalog has this to say:

"If you are found qualified but do not receive a Letter of Assurance, you will be competing for an offer of appointment from within your nominating sources. Approximately 2,000 candidates are found fully qualified (scholastically, medically, physically (CFA), and have obtained a nomination). Of that number, about 1,500 will receive appointments..."

So if you are 3Q+Nom, you have a 75% chance of being appointed, at least according to last year's numbers.

Mileage may vary at USMA or USAFA.

 

[goaltoserve]

Odd math

There are about 6,000 nominations to the USNA according to their literature. If only 2,000 are triple qualified that means that the vast majority of nominees never make it in the hunt for serious consideration. That is very depressing when you consider how much effort the candidates put into the application process. While it is easy to know why you are medically DQ or that you did not pass the CFA, does the USNA or any academy release any stats on the applications that don't get qualified for academic and leadership reasons? We see the average SATs of those who make it, but it would be helpful to future candidates to also see stats on those who don't. Just a thought!