4 years ago we didn't get a negative reply until mid-April. I expect you might hear anywhere between mid-March to mid-April. Keep working back-up plans and get that FAFSA done if it hasn't been done yet. DS still went to #1 school and enrolled into NROTC as a college programmer. We were able to do this because he pursued other scholarships through the college as well. He commissions in May. More than one way to skin a cat. Of course YMMV.