All of Alaska’s Senators and Rep give out noms last week of January if not first week of February. As far as I have seen the 5 Alaska slots have all already been appointed and accepted. While Alaska is sometimes an outlier, I don’t think late nominations affect much.
“The 5 Alaska slots.”
Let’s pick apart the class seats that might be available.
You may want to refresh on the Sticky Post pinned to the top of the Nominations forum.
Each Senator and your 1 Rep in your beautiful state may have 5 cadets or midshipmen each at the DoD SAs “charged” to their nomination authority at any one time, spread over the 4 years. That could be just 1 appointment per year each to USAFA, or it could be 2, depending how many of their appointees will graduate next month. Each elected official may submit a slate of up to 10 names for each vacanacy.
There could be 3-6 appointments charged among the 3 officials. The “5-6” would be an outlier, because that assumes there would be an unusual alignment of 2 vacancies each for 2-3 of the officials.
Being good politicians, they will take credit for anyone from their constituency who gets an offer of appointment, regardless of how many are actually charged to them. Now that you’re read the Nom Sticky Post, you know that USAFA can go to those slates and choose other fully qualified applicants to offer appointments to, and they will be charged to the nomination authorities they manage. There may be those on the slate, or even not on those slates, who earned other noms, such as JROTC or college ROTC nom, Presidential nom, other service-connected nom, even the VP nom. There is a reason the DoD SAs encourage applicants to apply to as many nom categories as they are eligible for. It gives the SA maximum flexibility as to where to charge an appointment.
Does the math look better to you now?