These stats are fine, this issue is knowing which senators have one vs two vacancies this year, plus we don't know the number of nominations someone has or that one specific person was "charged" to the MOC that nominated them. This makes the puzzle more complicated since no one necessarily has to be "charged" to the MOC or other nominating source that they were nominated by, and thus the puzzle can be switched around between one kid from Nebraska and one from New York. I remember seeing once seeing on a forum that at the end of plebe summer, plebes got the opportunity to send their grades back to the source they were "charged" to (and parents to, but which most declined to do) and that there were a fair number of kids who had never even heard of the person they were "charged" to. There is also only 535 members of congress times 5 vacancies which equals 2675 spots - far short of the approximately 4400 spots available per class. Some kids will be placed and the next 150 most competitive slots where the academy is required by law to take the next 150 most competitive/highest scoring applicants, and then an additional 400 plus to complete quotas for diversity, recruited athletes, NAPS, ect. Kids with LOAs may not necessarily be charged to the MOC that they are nominated by and could be charged to SecNav. There are several nominating categories that are possible and that you can be charged to. There is also the ranking system used by some MOCs, where kids have to be moved around where they are "charged" to fit in another kid ect ect. An example of this "puzzle" is an applicant from Baltimore could be charged to the 150 most competitive category and me from Kansas could be charged to his MOC if there aren't enough slots in Kansas. This is what makes the "puzzle" so complicated. If the academy wants you, they will do their best to find you a spot (notice I didn't say they will; at the end of the day, there still are only so many spots). The issue is competitiveness on both a local and national level, and in some ways (but not all), where you are from and the number of slots doesn't matter as much as how competitive you are.