On the other hand, interest rates are linear across the board. Meaning, if the loan rate was to go up from 0.75% to 1.25%, so would the savings rates, cd's rates, bonds, etc. As such, it would all be relative and balance.
To reiterate, my post above showed the total interest on the USAA $35K loan so low in a large part because of the brisk payback. So when you take the total amount of interest and divide it by 5 years, that calculation is irrelevant and can only lead to confusion.
Up to a couple days ago, I assumed the $35K was actually a great option for my son. As I said, our DS could borrow it for cheap to make ends meet in Boston for medical school. After hearing more of the details and now knowing it's basically a $600 a month savings plan for USAA (
brilliant marketing on their part by the way), IMHO, the value of the loan has diminished in my mind to a "good" deal and not a GREAT deal. In essence, USAA is giving away about $600 in interest to attract a new customer who will be higher earners in the coming year. Smart!!!! Heck, Bank of America (as an example) will pay me $150 per open checking account. AMEX (when Costco terminated them) gave me $500 to sign up for their card. To name a few...
Now if USAA gave cadets $35,000 and asked to pay back a small amount per month, then everyone is welcome to consider it an incredibly deal. But their "loan" isn't typical because of the fast payback and high monthly payments. The way it sits now, it is basically a $600 a month saving plan and or a cheap loan for a short time. Back to the ability to invest in stocks, or putting it in the bank. If you put the money in the S&P500 and if it goes down fast like it did in 2008, the $35K loan won't be such a smart move. If it goes up fast like it did in 2011, the cadets are going to look brilliant. I've come to learn that the term is so short and the monthly payback so large, the "$35K" can really only be viewed as a 1-2 year loan. Because at the start of the 2nd year, the loan is around $27,800 (minus $262 for the 1st year interest). The following year you are only borrowing $20,600 (less another $155; assuming the rate stays the same) etc. Soon, it's under $10K.
The way I look at it (not in hindsight but in real time), the real opportunity of a $35K short period (and exclusively using CC's S&P500's recommendation) will make a difference if the market go up fast over a very short time. Just like it did for the 2011-2016 grads. It
is a bet because in actuality, we are talking about a short term risk with someone else's money. It's an entirely different debate wondering if the market will be up a lot
as it has in the past when we were the undisputable world leader (25% of the wealth with 4% of the world population) and an economic superpower with less competition. In short, the jury is out. Anyways, I'm not willing to bet it will up anywhere as close to what it was in the next 40 years.
Simply put, I now view the $35K loan as marketing designed to attract future higher income earners that they will transition into car loans, house loans, insurance, etc etc. But to call this an "investment vehicle" as if it is a super-de-duper benefit (after examining the details) turning into a $1.x Million dollar deal in 40 years by putting in $35K into the market (which is fueled by your own savings called payback) is a big stretch.
Personally in 2017, it's why the bulk of my investment are in my business when I can better control the outcome. I can wrap my head around my industry and in the end, it's a lot easier to make more money by simply out working the competition. But one day we don't all want to work. So I do stare at financial vehicles to get me to where I need to be. For me, and if I was 22 years old, I'd be worried about how my savings and blend of investments will get me to the retirement finish line. So I'm in the camp of take it out of the hands of an employer (and the stock market). I realize that this is not a desired or realistic way for many people. But that's my approach. if I want more $$ in a year, I work harder and smarter.