USNA 2025 Waiting and....Waiting

Well, the waiting is finally over for the last of the civilian schools my DS applied to. He just got the denial from Duke. Heck, those odds make USNA look like a safety school...lol. Duke received 50,000 applicants for 1700 spots (3.4%). They received 10,000 more applicants this year than last. USNA is the number one choice and would have been even with a Duke admit and NROTC scholarship but he still has some pretty nice B,C, and D options! It can't be too much longer (or can it)!

3.4% is not the admission rate. As a small school but unlike the SAs, Duke could have admitted twice that number to yield an entering class of 1700. 7% or around 3500 is my guess, and most schools phrase it like that to make denied applicants feel better.

Still sucks though for sure.
 
3.4% is not the admission rate. As a small school but unlike the SAs, Duke could have admitted twice that number to yield an entering class of 1700. 7% or around 3500 is my guess, and most schools phrase it like that to make denied applicants feel better.

Still sucks though for sure.
You are right...I forgot they do send out more offers than they have spots for because of the yield. I just did a quick Google search. For 2020 they offered 2,170 for 1700 spots. I would assume it would be close to the same this year but even if it is slightly more, you are looking at about 5%. Either way, it is highly competitive! I thought of it this way, there were about 42,000 people (around 8,000 applied ED) who logged in to Duke's admission site last night at 1900hrs (Eastern time) and at least 40,000 had rejection letters. I will say that they were very nicely written and encouraging ;). No big deal for DS. That was a Hail Marry that he didn't apply to until their very last day to submit applications. The only reason he even threw it in there is because they have 1 of only 3 of the NROTC programs here in NC and he had included them on his NROTC applications as one of his 5 schools. He has been accepted to the other two, UNC and NC State. He is still waiting on a decision from NROTC. He has also been admitted to the Engineering program at East Carolina University and offered the Commander's AFROTC scholarship there. Pretty strong back-up plan because his goals are first and foremost to serve as an officer in the military and second to fly. He is a faith filled young man who works extremely hard to achieve his goals (as all the DSs and DDs do on this site). I have always taught him to work like everything depends on him and pray like everything depends on God! He knows that everything will work out as it is meant to be.
 
It really is weird. I thought after last year overall applications to colleges may be down this year. That does not seem to be the case, at least at competitive, prestigious schools, the numbers are way up. From what I have read, “test optional” was a big factor in that. However, I believe many of the smaller, expensive, private schools are struggling to keep their enrollment up.
Teacher at a flagship state university here. The applicant explosion this year is outrageous. Many better-known state colleges up double-digit percentages. Ivies and Stanford up 40% or more. All driven by test-optional and the general ambiguity of how things will shake out post-pandemic. Many students are hedging their bets — or shooting the moon.

At the same time, schools are hedging too. This is unprecedented, so they’re rethinking all their assumtions and algorithms. Old yield expectations are out the door. Summer melt is a big unknown. Schools are unsure whether to accept more than usual, or less, with major implications on housing and staffing. Many will use their waiting lists as they never have before.

Interestingly, the losers here are less-known, less-prestigious colleges. Their applications were down — way down for many. And as surely you’ve read, a few hundred colleges have closed or on the verge of doing so. If this crisis leads to some long-needed reforms in higher education, that would be a good thing.
 
Last edited:
You are so right about reform being needed in higher education! I also know that I have read that some schools have offered many more applicants than in the past because they expect the yield rate to be lower. That is because kids applied to more schools this year (according to reports and data from The Common App). I don't remember the numbers but one example was UVA. Apparently they have offered many more applicants than normal and if a high percentage accept then they are going to have major logistics problems with housing, class sizes, etc... That happened a few years back at VT where the yield rate was especially high. They had to put kids up in local hotels.

So, speaking of this...Has anyone heard about the number of SA applicants this year? Were they around the average number or significantly more or less? Some where on this Forum I read that the number of Applicants to Service Academies were down. But again, that was from this Forum, so not exactly the most reliable source...lol. (And yet, here I am still asking the Forum)
 
Teacher at a flagship state university here. The applicant explosion this year is outrageous. Many better-known state colleges up double-digit percentages. Ivies and Stanford up 40% or more. All driven by test-optional and the general ambiguity of how things will shake out post-pandemic. Many students are hedging their bets — or shooting the moon.

At the same time, schools are hedging too. This is unprecedented, so they’re rethinking all their assumtions and algorithms. Old yield expectations are out the door. Summer melt is a big unknown. Schools are unsure whether to accept more than usual, or less, with major implications on housing and staffing. Many will use their waiting lists as they never have before.

Interestingly, the losers here are less-known, less-prestigious colleges. Their applications were down — way down for many. And as surely you’ve read, a few hundred colleges have closed or on the verge of doing so. If this crisis leads to some long-needed reforms in higher education, that would be a good thing.
we are seeing the same thing with law school for my oldest - the law school apps are up huge according to the law schools! but all the law schools required the LSAT so not exactly sure what is going on there.....
 
Just wanna say thanks to everyone on here...SAF has been my sanity as I wait with my DS who doesn't even know I'm on here. LOL! It's been a wonderful outlet for me to stalk the threads. :)
Exactly. It has been my outlet, as well. Keeps me from nagging my DS that is two thousand miles away from me.
He received an email (4/1) from DoDMERB to schedule his medical evaluation. Now, waiting to hear from his school on logistics to get him there.
 
You are so right about reform being needed in higher education! I also know that I have read that some schools have offered many more applicants than in the past because they expect the yield rate to be lower. That is because kids applied to more schools this year (according to reports and data from The Common App). I don't remember the numbers but one example was UVA. Apparently they have offered many more applicants than normal and if a high percentage accept then they are going to have major logistics problems with housing, class sizes, etc... That happened a few years back at VT where the yield rate was especially high. They had to put kids up in local hotels.

So, speaking of this...Has anyone heard about the number of SA applicants this year? Were they around the average number or significantly more or less? Some where on this Forum I read that the number of Applicants to Service Academies were down. But again, that was from this Forum, so not exactly the most reliable source...lol. (And yet, here I am still asking the Forum)
I would guess that because of the nomination requirement, the number of complete applications would not increase as much as for civilian schools.
 
You are so right about reform being needed in higher education! I also know that I have read that some schools have offered many more applicants than in the past because they expect the yield rate to be lower. That is because kids applied to more schools this year (according to reports and data from The Common App). I don't remember the numbers but one example was UVA. Apparently they have offered many more applicants than normal and if a high percentage accept then they are going to have major logistics problems with housing, class sizes, etc... That happened a few years back at VT where the yield rate was especially high. They had to put kids up in local hotels.

So, speaking of this...Has anyone heard about the number of SA applicants this year? Were they around the average number or significantly more or less? Some where on this Forum I read that the number of Applicants to Service Academies were down. But again, that was from this Forum, so not exactly the most reliable source...lol. (And yet, here I am still asking the Forum)
I think many students applied to more schools than they would have if they had been able to visit schools over spring break and summer last year. I know this was the case with my DS. He’s not yet finalized his plan B school among three very good options, none of which he’s been able to visit. Hoping for an appointment before May 1, or he’s going to have to pick one! (He’s LOA and under medical waiver review, so we have no idea when he’ll know for certain.) We may have to make some trips in late April... It’s getting hard to be patient!
 
It really is weird. I thought after last year overall applications to colleges may be down this year. That does not seem to be the case, at least at competitive, prestigious schools, the numbers are way up. From what I have read, “test optional” was a big factor in that. However, I believe many of the smaller, expensive, private schools are struggling to keep their enrollment up. I am also basing that on what I have read and on the desperate emails my DS keeps getting that extend the application deadline, waive the application fee and practically beg him to apply.
No begging for Notre Dame or USC.. they had HUGE applicant numbers this year..
 
I think many students applied to more schools than they would have if they had been able to visit schools over spring break and summer last year. I know this was the case with my DS. He’s not yet finalized his plan B school among three very good options, none of which he’s been able to visit. Hoping for an appointment before May 1, or he’s going to have to pick one! (He’s LOA and under medical waiver review, so we have no idea when he’ll know for certain.) We may have to make some trips in late April... It’s getting hard to be patient!
Same for DS - LOA and under waiver review. USNA still plan A. So just waiting. We went ahead and urged him to work on finalizing plan B. Ironically, he picked the plan B he hasn't completely visited - Boston University, NROTC - but he loves Boston and didn't get into Georgetown, which was originally plan B. Plans C, D, and E were George Washington University NROTC, Purdue NROTC, OSU NROTC, and Northeastern (no NROTC offered). We'll probably put down deposit and start really planning in the next week. Maybe then Murphy's Law will kick in and we'll hear back about waivers!
 
No begging for Notre Dame or USC.. they had HUGE applicant numbers this year..
Yes...they definitely belong in the category of competitive, prestigious schools that I mentioned. From what I hear all of those have double digit increases. From what @MidCakePa said, many of those schools have seen applications increase 40% or more. This has to be unprecedented. Good luck to your DS or DD!
 
I would guess that because of the nomination requirement, the number of complete applications would not increase as much as for civilian schools.
@Z_NavyMom you are right about the numbers that are 3Q with a Nom. That can't change a whole lot as there are only so many noms to go around. What I was looking for was the total number who actually submitted applications to the individual Service Academies. For instance, from what I have seen online, the number of applicants to the Naval Academy averages around 15,000. I saw where one year somewhere around 2008 - 2010 there were nearly 20,000 applicants to the Naval Academy. I would think that would relevant because the more applicants to the service academy then the more applicants for nominations. That would tend to make competition for nominations more competitive and once nominations were given, then the slates themselves would tend to be more competitive.

I know this is all really immaterial. It is what it is and will be what it will be. Many would say there is no need to over analyze and they would be right! However, just like this site in general, it is a distraction for our nervous energy and something to think about besides, "when in the heck is USNA going to let us know something!"

Now I have to get back to work...lol.
 
Our congressman told all of the awarded nominees that their office had a record high number of applicants for nominations this year.
 
Strange year indeed! Although DS1 is still waiting on Navy his Plan B is good to go: NROTC at Cornell. He is still wondering how to ethically hedge his bets against a day before I day injury. His twin DS2 ignored my ROTC suggestions because they weren’t the quickest route to an MD but he was waitlisted by Un of Chicago and accepted by Washington and Lee. Now he’s thinking he’ll walk on to the ROTC program at VMI via the crosstown agreement with W&L. The twin to twin competition is back. SMH.
 
Strange year indeed! Although DS1 is still waiting on Navy his Plan B is good to go: NROTC at Cornell. He is still wondering how to ethically hedge his bets against a day before I day injury. His twin DS2 ignored my ROTC suggestions because they weren’t the quickest route to an MD but he was waitlisted by Un of Chicago and accepted by Washington and Lee. Now he’s thinking he’ll walk on to the ROTC program at VMI via the crosstown agreement with W&L. The twin to twin competition is back. SMH.
Your son will love W&L!!! But things need to get back to normal there. It’s been a tough year.
 
Strange year indeed! Although DS1 is still waiting on Navy his Plan B is good to go: NROTC at Cornell. He is still wondering how to ethically hedge his bets against a day before I day injury. His twin DS2 ignored my ROTC suggestions because they weren’t the quickest route to an MD but he was waitlisted by Un of Chicago and accepted by Washington and Lee. Now he’s thinking he’ll walk on to the ROTC program at VMI via the crosstown agreement with W&L. The twin to twin competition is back. SMH.
The ethical dilemma is real. Did your DS1 talk to the NROTC officer at Cornell? My DS spoke to his AROTC officer at his top school and we were then more comfortable with our plan.
 
another big reason for huge college application numbers this year is all the HS grads from 2020 who took a year off and are applying and incoming freshman this year.

this was why so many advised against taking a year off, because the competition this year is so much higher
 
Back
Top