Just my experience and observation. Based on the past threads and past 4 years interactions with MIDNs, Cadets, and Admissions at USNA, USMA, USAFA, following states have super competitive districts. Thus, unless you are a recruited athlete with strong overall qualities or have stellar academics and or leadership, your chances are a lot lower or slim if you live in super competitive districts inside states with large volume of applicants. I am characterizing these super competitive candidates who are equally competitive at America’s top 20 national colleges that include the Ivies, MIT, CalTech, Stanford, Duke, Chicago, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Johns Hopkins, Georgetown, Emory.
However, even in these states there are few non competitive districts that are non competitive impacted by demographics, social / economic makeup, and little military presence and tradition in the area.
These are some of the most competitive states based on quantity applying vs quality of applicants and number of candidates receiving Noms. Obviously, bigger states get more Noms and representation. I don’t want to get in trouble by those who feel differently so please excuse me if I left out your states:
New York
New Jersey
California
Virginia
Maryland - most selective to USNA
Texas
Florida
Pennsylvania
Colorado - most selective to USAFA
Arizona - most selective to USAFA
Hawaii - more selective to USNA, USMA